2024 NBA Draft Betting Prediction: Who will be drafted as first overall. Place a wager with the best odds and exclusive bonuses, only at YouWager.lv.
There are two talents who, if the betting odds are any indication, are clearly the favorites to go first overall in this year’s crop, making the 2024 NBA draft class one of the most open in a long time.
The front-runners for the Atlanta Hawks’ No. 1 overall pick are Frenchmen Zaccharie Risacher and Alexandre Sarr, the big man for the Perth Wildcats of the NBL.
Check out the latest odds to find out who will be the next player taken first in the draft, following in the footsteps of players such as Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, LeBron James, and Victor Wembanyama.
2024 NBA Draft Betting: Who Will Go First Overall?
| Prospect | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Sarr | -170 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | +150 |
| Donovan Clingan | +500 |
| Reed Sheppard | +3000 |
| Matas Buzelis | +10000 |
| Stephon Castle | +10000 |
| Nikola Topic | +20000 |
| Robert Dillingham | +20000 |
| Bronny James | +30000 |
2024 NBA Draft Betting: Who Will Go Second Overall?
| Prospect | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Sarr | +130 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | +130 |
| Donovan Clingan | +420 |
| Reed Sheppard | +1000 |
| Stephon Castle | +3000 |
| Matas Buzelis | +3500 |
| Nikola Topic | +6000 |
| Robert Dillingham | +6000 |
| Bronny James | +20000 |
2024 NBA Draft Betting: Who Will Go Third Overall?
| Prospect | Odds |
|---|---|
| Reed Sheppard | +140 |
| Donovan Clingan | +240 |
| Stephon Castle | +650 |
| Matas Buzelis | +1000 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | +1000 |
| Alexandre Sarr | +1500 |
| Nikola Topic | +2000 |
| Robert Dillingham | +3000 |
| Ron Holand | +3000 |
2024 NBA Draft Betting Prediction: First Overall Pick
Now in this 2024 NBA Draft Betting prediction, we have the two players that are the top favorites to go first overall:
Alexandre Sarr
The 19-year-old French 7-footer Alexandre Sarr and the unicorn Wembanyama inevitably share some characteristics, but there is where the similarities end.
Sarr still has a great deal of potential. Despite averaging only 9.7 points per game with the Perth Wildcats, he is tough to dismiss due to his 7-foot-4 and a half wingspan and athletic gifts. His offensive repertoire is also far more nuanced than some may think.
It is impossible to transmit size, yet Sarr has plenty of it. Sarr may have the best long-term potential for any struggling club trying to win big, despite his general uneven play and shooting efficiency (just over 70% at the free-throw line and less than 30% from 3-point range).
Zaccharie Risacher
Basketball runs in the family: Zaccharie Risacher’s father, Stephane Risacher, won the 2006 Spanish League and was a six-time French League All-Star. Playing for JL Bourg-en-Bresse in France, young Zaccharie has shown that he can defend large men and guards, which is an important skill for any small forward. Risacher makes few mistakes and converts shoots frequently, despite his lack of ball control and lack of artistic ability to create his own shots.
Where Will Bronny James Be Drafted?
The wild card in the class is Bronny James, the superstar LeBron James’ son. Before his own career concludes, LeBron has stated that he would like to play with Bronny. The 19-year-old prospect is most likely a late second-round pick with +30,00000 odds to go first to Atlanta, while it’s possible he ends up undrafted.
And there’s a potential that one of the 30 teams in the league may decide to sign Bronny in the hopes that LeBron would do the same, given that LeBron has the option to forego his 2024–25 player option and enter unrestricted free agency.
Bronny played for the Trojans, primarily as a reserve, and averaged 4.8 points per game. He probably would have benefited from spending one or two more years in college to continue developing.
Last 10 NBA First Overall Picks
| Year | Player | School / Team | Odds at Time of Draft |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Victor Wembanyama | Metropolitans 92 (France LNB) | -50000 |
| 2022 | Paolo Banchero (ORL) | Duke | -200 |
| 2021 | Cade Cunningham (DET) | Oklahoma State | -8000 |
| 2020 | Anthony Edwards (MIN) | Georgia | -125 |
| 2019 | Zion Williamson (NOP) | Duke | -2500 |
| 2018 | Deandre Ayton (PHX) | Arizona | -2500 |
| 2017 | Markelle Fultz (PHI) | Washington | -750 |
| 2016 | Ben Simmons (PHI) | LSU | -650 |
| 2015 | Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) | Kentucky | -200 |
| 2014 | Andrew Wiggins (CLE) | Kansas | -250 |
Wembanyama is the first first-overall selection to play for a team outside of the United States since the Toronto Raptors selected Italian player Andrea Bargnani in 2006. He becomes the latest in a long line of exceptional players, most of whom are currently the focal point of his teams.
2024 NBA Draft Betting Trends
The draft does a great job of showcasing the excitement of NBA futures betting; on draft day, we can always count on some drama and unexpected transactions. Nevertheless, it might be difficult to spot trends from year to year because new teams draft every year and because player position and quality are so crucial. Teams will adjust their standards to accommodate every possible participant.
Regardless, make use of our NBA Draft betting guide and keep an eye out for key patterns to help you calculate the potential value of a futures bet on the first overall pick and other factors:
- A fair distribution of positions results in the first pick of the NBA draft. There have been three centers, three guards, and four forwards selected in the past ten years.
- Only three of the last 10 first-overall picks have taken home the Rookie of the Year award.
- The only player to play three years in France’s LNB against the grain in the previous ten years is Wembanyama. Before joining the league, the majority of NBA prospects only play one year of collegiate hoops.
- Duke has generated five first-overall choices, the most in the history of the school. Kentucky continues to hold the record for most overall draft selections with twenty-two.
- As evidence of the NBA’s global appeal, five of the last ten players selected with the first overall choice were not Americans.
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