Commanders at Saints Betting Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 15

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 15. The game is set for Sunday, December 15th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.

Commanders at Saints Betting Odds

Here are the Commanders at Saints Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
COMMANDERS	-7.5	-380	43.5 O
SAINTS	+7.5	+300	43.5 U

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Head-to-Head

Now in these Commanders at Saints Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Washington

These are the Commanders at Saints Betting trends for Washington:

• In their last 12 games, Washington has an 8-3-1 record against the spread.
• The total has surpassed the limit in four of Washington’s last five games.
• Washington has an 8-4 record against the spread in the last 12 games.
• In their last eight meetings with New Orleans, Washington has a 6-2 ATS record.
• In the last six meetings with New Orleans, Washington has a 2-4 SU record.
• The total has gone over the predetermined limit in six of Washington’s last seven away games.
• The total has gone OVER in five of the previous six games when Washington travels to play New Orleans.
• In their last seven meetings with a National Football Conference team, Washington has a 5-2 record against the spread.
• Washington is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games while playing a team in the National Football Conference South division.
• Washington has a 1-6 SU record in the previous seven games played in December.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Washington Best Bets

Now in these Commanders at Saints Betting trends, we have the best bets for Washington:

• The Washington Commanders have a 4Q Game Total Over (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI) in seven of their previous eight away games.
• The Washington Commanders have recorded a 2H Game Total Over (+4.99 Units / 66% ROI) in six of their last seven road games.
• The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread (+3.80 Units / 37% ROI) in six of their last eight away games.
• The Washington Commanders have won a Game Total Over (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI) in seven of their last ten road games.
• In five of their last seven road games, the Washington Commanders have successfully covered the 2-hour spread, yielding a 39% return on investment of 2.90 units.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Best Washington Player Prop Bets

Next in these Commanders at Saints Betting trends, we have the player prop bets for Washington:

• Austin Seibert has made the field goal over (+7.15 units / 85% ROI) in the last seven games.
• In eight of his last eleven outings, Brian Robinson has accomplished a Receptions Under, yielding a +5.15 Units / 34% ROI.
• Jayden Daniels has a Rushing Yards Under (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI) in the last five away games.
• In nine of his last thirteen games, Zach Ertz has accomplished a Receptions Over, yielding a +5.00 Units / 32% ROI.
• In six of his last seven games, Jayden Daniels has recorded a Carries Under, yielding a 62% return on investment and a $4.90 unit profit.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• This NFL season, the Commanders are 8-4 against the spread, which is a 25.26% return on investment (+3.65 units).
• Commanders are 8-5 when betting on the moneyline for +0.5 units / 1.95% ROI.
• When betting on the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI, commanders have a 9-4 record.
• When betting on the Under for -5.9 Units / ROI, commanders are 4-9.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Washington Keys to the Game

• With a 5-13 (.278) record since the 2023 season, the Commanders have the 10th-worst record in the NFL when it comes to throwing at least one interception. The Saints have the third-highest number of interceptions in the NFL with 31 since the 2023 season.
• The Commanders had the third-worst performance in the NFL last season, going 3-11 (.214) when they missed less than 50% of their third-down conversion attempts. .430 is the league average.
• The Commanders had the third-worst performance in the NFL last season when they allowed 120 or more rushing yards, going 1-8 (.111); the league average was.324.
• The Commanders had the second-worst record in the NFL last season, going 2-12 (.143) when they committed one or more turnovers. The average for the league is.406.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Washington Offense Important Stats

• The Commanders had the highest percentage in the NFL this season, with 56% of their plays taking place in the opponent’s territory. 47% is the league average.
• The Commanders have the highest rate in the NFL this season, with 22% of their plays in the red zone in the first quarter. 13% is the league average.
• The Commanders have the highest percentage in the NFL this season, scoring on 52% of their drives. 38% is the league average.
• The Commanders had the lowest rate in the NFL last season, executing successful plays on 36% of play action passes. 48% was the league average.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Washington Defense Important Stats

• The Commanders defense has allowed the lowest passer rating in the NFL since the 2023 season, with a base rush of 105.3 (857 Pass Attempts); the league average is 90.4.
• During the first half of the previous season, the Commanders’ defense allowed the lowest average of 0.16 epa per play in the NFL. -0.00 was the league average.
• The Commanders’ defense allowed the lowest average of 0.09 epa per play in the NFL last season. -0.03 was the league average.
• In the first quarter of the previous season, the Commanders’ defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent possessions, the lowest in the NFL; the league average was 29%.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans

These are the Commanders at Saints Betting trends for New Orleans:

• New Orleans has a 2-7 record against the spread in their last nine games.
• The total has fallen short of the set amount in four of New Orleans’ last six games.
• New Orleans has a 3-8 SU losing record in their last 11 games.
• In seven of their last seven games versus Washington, New Orleans has surpassed the total.
• New Orleans has a 2-4 record against the spread in their last six home games.
• Five of New Orleans’ previous six home games against Washington have had the total surpass.
• New Orleans is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games versus a team in the National Football Conference.
• The total has been less than the stated amount in five of the last six games when New Orleans has faced a team from the National Football Conference East division.
• New Orleans has a 6-3 SU record in the previous nine games played in December.
• New Orleans is 7-1 SU in the final eight games in week 15.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Best Bets

Now in these Commanders at Saints Betting trends, we have the best bets for New Orleans:

• The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline (+6.75 Units / 25% ROI) in 12 of the previous 20 games.
• Ten of the New Orleans Saints’ last 20 games have successfully covered the 1Q Moneyline, yielding a 19% return on investment (+4.80 units).
• The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of the last 20 games, yielding a 16% return on investment (+4.05 units).
• Six of the New Orleans Saints’ last eight home games have ended in a 2H Game Total Over, yielding a +3.78 Units / 42% return on investment.
• The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1H Spread (+3.75 Units / 33% RO) in 7 of their previous 10 home games.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: Best New Orleans Player Prop Bets

Next in these Commanders at Saints Betting trends, we have the player prop bets for New Orleans:

• Derek Carr has completed touchdown passes in nine of his last fourteen games (+7.75 units / 54% ROI).
• Juwan Johnson has surpassed the Receiving Yards Over (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI) in 12 of his last 16 games.
• Foster Moreau has been the Receiving Yards Over (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI) in 10 of his last 14 games.
• Derek Carr has hit the Interceptions Under in six of his previous seven games at home, yielding a 61% return on investment (+5.10 units).
• Derek Carr has surpassed the Rushing Yards Over (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI) in six of his last seven home games.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

• This NFL season, the Saints are 5-8 against the spread (-3.8 Units / -26.76% ROI).
• The Saints are 5-8 when betting on the moneyline for -3.75 units / -20.72% ROI.
• The Saints are 7-6 when betting on the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI.
• The Saints are 6-7 when betting on the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Keys to the Game

• When the other team converts at least 55% of its red zone opportunities into touchdowns, the Saints have a winless record (0-5) for the season. With a league average of.401, this is the NFL’s T-worst performance.
• The Saints are the third-worst team in the NFL in terms of rushing fewer than 25 times, with a 1-8 record (.111) since the 2023 season; the league average is.276.
• The Saints have the seventh-worst record in the NFL this season (2-5,.286) when they are within 7 points going into the fourth quarter. The average for the league is.500.
• The Saints currently have the ninth-worst record in the NFL (2-6,.250) when giving up 100 running yards or more this season. The average for the league is.378.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Offense Important Stats

• The Saints had the lowest percentage in the NFL in Week 14, with 23 percent of their plays taking place in the opponent’s territory. 48% is the league average.
• With a league average of -0.10, the Saints have had the NFL’s highest average epa per play on challenged attempts since 2023.
• The Saints had the NFL’s lowest percentage of plays in the opponent’s territory in the second half of Week 14 (14%). 51% is the league average.
• The Saints have the highest rate in the NFL this season, targeting running backs 25% of the time (104 throw attempts/411 plays). 16% is the league average.

Commanders at Saints Betting Trends: New Orleans Defense Important Stats

• With a light front (345 pass attempts), the Saints defense has allowed the highest passer rating in the NFL since the 2023 season (67.9; the league average is 84.8).
• The Saints defense has allowed the lowest passer rating in the NFL this season, 32.6 on contested attempts (54 pass attempts), while the league average is 71.8.
• With a thin front (133 pass attempts), the Saints defense has allowed the highest passer rating in the NFL this season (58.2); the league average is 87.2.
• The Saints defense owns the best record in the NFL, allowing no successful play on any challenged throw since Week 11 (league average: 33%).

Commanders at Saints Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Commanders at Saints Betting prediction for both teams.

Commanders at Saints Betting Prediction: Washington

This is the Commanders at Saints Betting prediction for Washington.

Following a much-needed bye week, the Washington Commanders have just returned. They were able to dominate the Tennessee Titans prior to their bye, but this win ended a three-game losing slide. They are, nevertheless, maintaining their strong play throughout the season.Leading the charge on this has been Jayden Daniels. Daniels has only committed six interceptions while throwing for 2,819 yards and 15 touchdowns. Daniels has also scored six ground-based touchdowns. For the Commanders to continue in this game, he must be a strong offensive commander.

Given that the Saints have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game this season, Daniels is in a good position to gain yards. The Saints have also committed few penalties this season. Jayden Daniels is also not a quarterback who is accustomed to handling a lot of pressure. If the Saints cannot get to Daniels in the pocket, he will cause serious harm with his arms and legs. As the NFL season draws closer to the postseason, Daniels’ performance will give the Commanders a major win.

The Commanders convert on third and fourth downs with remarkable skill. Washington has the sixth-best third-down conversion rate in the NFL at 44.1%. In addition, they convert 86.7 percent of their fourth downs, which makes them the most successful team in the NFL. In those circumstances, New Orleans plays decent defense, but Washington is among the best. If the Commanders can convert their third downs, they will be able to overcome this spread.

Commanders at Saints Betting: Washington Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
TE	Zach Ertz (Hamstring)	Probable
WR	Jamison Crowder (Calf)	Questionable
DT	Jonathan Allen (Pectoral)	Out
K	Zane Gonzalez (Left Foot)	Probable
WR	Noah Brown (Kidney)	Out
RB	Austin Ekeler (Concussion)	Out
DE	Clelin Ferrell (Knee)	Questionable
K	Austin Seibert (Hip)	Out
DB	Quan Martin (Shoulder)	Questionable
DT	Norell Pollard (Undisclosed)	Out
TE	Colson Yankoff (Hamstring)	Out

Commanders at Saints Betting Prediction: New Orleans

This is the Commanders at Saints Betting prediction for New Orleans.

Derek Carr suffered a hand fracture on Sunday, which means the New Orleans Saints will probably be without their veteran quarterback for the rest of the season. In his place, the Saints will select Jake Haener or Spencer Rattler. That being said, they have not yet decided who will start. Despite Haener being second on the depth chart, Rattler has made three starts. Additionally, Chris Olave and Taysom Hill are gone for the season, which leaves the Saints without a number of key players. What the Saints need is for the player who starts to be at the top of his game.

As stated earlier, the Commanders are skilled on third and fourth down. They have had a great deal of success this season because of the high conversion rate. However, when it comes to keeping their opponents from converting, the Saints are one of the best teams. Teams only convert 40.9 percent of their fourth downs and 35.6 percent of their third downs when facing the Saints. Both of those players are at the top of the league.

Commanders at Saints Betting: New Orleans Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
QB	Derek Carr (Left Hand/Concussion)	Doubtful
RB	Alvin Kamara (Illness)	Questionable
OT	Ryan Ramczyk (Knee)	Out
DE	Tanoh Kpassagnon (Achilles)	Questionable
QB	Taysom Hill (Knee)	Out
S	Roderic Teamer (Suspended)	Out
TE	Juwan Johnson (Foot)	Questionable
OT	Justin Herron (Knee)	Out
WR	Chris Olave (Concussion)	Out
CB	Paulson Adebo (Femur)	Out
LB	D’Marco Jackson (Ankle)	Questionable
WR	Rashid Shaheed (Knee)	Out
OL	Nick Saldiveri (Knee)	Out
CB	Rejzohn Wright (Undisclosed)	Out
DT	Camron Peterson (Undisclosed)	Out
WR	Bub Means (Ankle)	Questionable
DE	Trajan Jeffcoat (Undisclosed)	Out

Commanders at Saints Betting Picks

Next, we have the Commanders at Saints Betting picks for this game.

Commanders at Saints Betting Prediction: MoneyLine

First, we have the Commanders at Saints Betting prediction for the moneyline.

The Commanders are in fourth place going into week 15 according to our offensive power rankings. In the NFL, they rank fourth and fifth, respectively, in terms of goals scored (28.1) and yards gained (377.6) per game. Even though they rank 18th in passing yards and 24th in passing attempts, Jayden Daniels passed for 206 yards (25/30) and three touchdowns in week 13. With 31.8 attempts per game, Washington ranks third in terms of carrying yards per game (156.9). The run game is crucial to the team’s success.

Despite having the most red zone attempts in the NFL, Washington has the 26th-highest conversion rate. They were sixth in the league after converting 64.3% of their third-down attempts in the thirteenth week. Terry McLaurin received eight catches for 73 yards and two touchdowns, and Brian Robinson Jr. ran for 103 yards on 16 carries in the first quarter of the Commanders’ 21-point win against the Titans.

The Saints are in 18th place going into week 15 according to our offensive power rankings. They are in 14th place with 341.5 yards per game and 15th place with 22.3 points per game in the NFL. With 212.8 yards and 31.6 attempts per game, New Orleans ranks 19th in the US in terms of throwing yards per game. They rank seventh in ground-based rushing attempts and tenth in rushing yards per game (1287).

In week 14, Derek Carr found the field with 219 yards (20/31), one score, and one interception. With 51 yards on four receptions, Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team in receiving yards, and Alvin Kamara amassed 44 yards on 17 carries. The Saints converted five out of fifteen third-down tries and scored on both of their trips to the red zone.

• Free MoneyLine Commanders at Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.

Commanders at Saints Betting Prediction: Total

Now, we have the Commanders at Saints Betting prediction for the total.

In their most recent game against the Titans, the Washington Commanders’ defense gave up just 35 rushing yards on 11 attempts and 210 passing yards on 18 completions. They limited Tennessee to just 19 percent of third-down conversions and won 42–19. Despite giving up two throwing touchdowns, Washington held the Titans to a 48.6% completion percentage.

In addition to recording two sacks, Washington’s defense surpassed the Titans in the QB hit differential, giving them a +7 edge. Throughout the game, the Commanders’ offense gained 245 yards.

The Saints’ defense played well on third downs, allowing only a 26.3% conversion rate in their 14–11 victory over the Giants. They also held the Giants to just 213 passing yards and a 42.9% completion rate. The New Orleans defense only let the Giants score 11 points while securing a crucial interception.

Despite giving up 112 yards on the ground, the Saints held the Giants to 4.9 yards per rush. New Orleans also forced the quarterback and recorded two sacks, which led to a +9 lead in the QB hit differential.

• Free Total Commanders at Saints Betting Pick: OVER.

Commanders at Saints Betting Prediction: Spread

Next, we have the Commanders at Saints Betting prediction for the spread.

After three straight defeats, the Commanders defeated the Titans 42-19 in week 13 to improve their record to 8-5. Washington easily covered the spread as a 6-point favorite. The Commanders broke the 45.5-point barrier for the second consecutive game with a combined score of 61 points.

Washington has an 84.8% chance of making the playoffs as we go into week 15, placing twelfth in our power rankings. They are 8-4-1 against the spread and have a +6.2 scoring margin. They have a 9–4 over/under record and an average of 51.7 points per game.

In their last three games of the regular season, Washington has a 1-2 record. In these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, but their over-under record was 2-1. In their last five away games, Washington has kept their record at 3-2. They scored an average of 29 points per game during this time, while they gave up an average of 25 points. At 3-1-1, the team beat the spread as well.

After defeating the Giants in week 14, the Saints ended a two-game losing run and are now 5-8. As a result, they finish third in the NFC South with a 2-3 division record. New Orleans is in 29th place according to our power rankings, and it has a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs.

The Saints are 5-8 against the spread and have an average scoring margin of -0.2 points per game. They have not covered the spread in their last two games, including their win over the Giants, where they were 5.5-point favorites. They have a 7–6 over/under record and have underhit in two straight games.

Their last three meetings have ended in a 2-1 victory for the Saints. In these games, the team’s over/under record was 2-1. In terms of the over/under, they have a 1-2 record in these games. In their last five home games, New Orleans has a 1-4 ATS record. They did, however, continue to score 16 points per game on average and finished with a 1-4 record overall.

• Free Spread Commanders at Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.

FREE Commanders at Saints Betting Picks

• Free MoneyLine Commanders at Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.
• Free Total Commanders at Saints Betting Pick: OVER.
• Free Spread Commanders at Saints Betting Pick: WASHINGTON.

 

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