Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting: UFC 305 Odds, Prediction
As Dricus Du Plessis (C) prepares to make his first defense of the Middleweight belt, the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is packing its bags and heading down to Australia this weekend. In Saturday’s main event, which will take place at the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, he will compete against the ever-dangerous Israel Adesanya, who is ranked second. First, let’s take a look at how each fighter got to this point, then we’ll analyze their statistics and patterns, and finally, we’ll close up this piece with my favorite wager for the championship bout.
Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Odds
Here are the Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya |
N/A
|
-110 | N/A |
| Dricus Du Plessis | N/A | -110 | N/A |
Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Guide for UFC 305
Here is our Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting guide for UFC 305.
Betting Profile: Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0)
Last Five Fights: W-W-W-W-W
When it comes to his professional career, Dricus Du Plessis is currently riding a nine-fight winning streak, which includes a perfect 7-0-0 record in the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). As he has worked his way up to the title, the South African has defeated some of the best middleweights in the world, including Darren Till (SUB – Neck Crank), Derek Brunson (KO/TKO – Punches), Robert Whittaker (KO/TKO – Punches), and Sean Strickland (S-DEC), the most recent of whom he has defeated. Du Plessis prevailed over Strickland in January of this year by way of a split decision, despite the fact that Strickland was outstruck 173-137 over the course of 25 minutes. A total of six takedowns were successfully landed by the champion in a relatively short amount of control time of 2 minutes and 8 seconds.
From a statistical standpoint, it is clear that Du Plessis is not hesitant to submit the opponent to the canvas. At a rate of 51%, he completes three takedowns every fifteen minutes on average. The opponent is attempting to take him down forty percent of the time. When it comes to his striking, the 30-year-old veteran is delivering an impressive 6.49 significant strikes per minute while simultaneously taking in 4.77 strikes. In terms of his appearance, it is important to point out that Du Plessis holds a black belt in kickboxing at the second degree.
Betting Profile: Israel Adesanya (24-3-0)
Last Five Fights: L-W-L-W-W
After suffering a defeat at the hands of Sean Strickland (U-DEC) in September 2023, Israel Adesanya is attempting to regain the Middleweight World Championship title. That was Izzy’s final battle, and Strickland defeated him by a score of 137-94. In addition, Izzy was knocked down once throughout the fight. Prior to the loss of the championship, Adesanya had a series of battles with Alex Pereira, which he lost by knockout in November 2022 (Punches). However, he was able to recover and win the fight again in April 2023 by achieving a knockout victory of his own. For the 35-year-old fighter, this will be the 12th battle in a row that he is contending for a championship at this point. In those bouts, he has a record of 8-3, with his third loss occurring in the Light Heavyweight division in March 2021, when he was defeated by Jan Blachowicz (U-DEC).
The fact that “The Last Stylebender” is only landing 0.05 takedowns every 15 minutes indicates that he does not have much of a ground attack at all. His success rate is only 14%. In spite of this, the purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu is successful in defending 77% of the takedown attempts made by the opponent. As a patient striker, Adesanya is able to land 3.93 major strikes per minute while simultaneously absorbing 3.11 strikes per minute. The strike defense rate of the Nigerian is 56%, which indicates that just 44% of his opponent’s strikes are successful in finding a target.
Bottom Line
The main event is going to be a bomb, and the oddsmakers at YouWager.lv Sportsbook are in agreement with this assessment. They have the challenger priced as a tiny -120 moneyline favorite right now. In an effort to defend his title and raise his hand for the tenth time in a row, Dricus Du Plessis is returning at a wager of one hundred dollars.
Simply clicking the button and fading Israel Adesanya is never something that comes easily to me. It’s possible that this is the very first time I’ve ever placed a wager against the person who won the championship in the past. On the other hand, this seems to be a situation in which it would make sense to place a wager on a current champion who has an even-money payoff. This coming Saturday evening, I will be riding alongside Du Plessis in an effort to keep the Middleweight strap.
There is a story going around that the South African has a problem with his cardiovascular system, but I believe that he has resolved those charges. This individual has demonstrated that he is capable of competing in the championship rounds, as evidenced by the fact that he has gone through a nose surgery to free up his airways and has spent twenty-five minutes with Sean Strickland.
Additionally, he has an impressive resume, which includes victories over some of the best middleweights in the globe from around the world. At this point in time, I do not believe that Du Plessis’ game has a great deal of room for improvement. Because of his training in kickboxing, he is a heavy-handed striker who is also capable of delivering kicks. Additionally, the champion possesses an exceptional takedown skill, and the fact that he fights in a variety of styles makes him a more formidable adversary to Izzy. The fact that he has won 10 of his 21 professional fights by submission (9 knockouts, 2 decisions) is something that should be noted.
It is expected that Du Plessis would prevail in this fight so long as he is able to maintain his composure and avoid being knocked out. The thirty-year-old fighter has not been knocked out since the year 2018, and it is safe to say that he is light years ahead of his skill level from six years ago. Although I won’t be surprised if Adesanya comes out on top, I believe that Du Plessis is currently in the peak of his career and has a stronger chance of winning overall. This main event is sure to be an exciting one. Even though I am a tiny underdog, I am riding with the champion.
Bet: Dricus Du Plessis Moneyline (+100)
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