Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 14. The game is set for Sunday, December 8th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Odds
Here are the Falcons at Vikings Betting Odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| FALCONS | +5.5 | +215 | 46 O |
| VIKINGS | -5.5 | -255 | 46 U |
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Head-to-Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Falcons | Vikings | -3.5 / 38.5 | Lost 28-31 | Lost / Over |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3.5 / 53.5 | Won 40-23 | Won / Over |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3.5 / 47 | Lost 12-28 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Falcons | Vikings | -2 / 48.5 | Lost 9-14 | Lost / Under |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Falcons | Vikings | -2 / 45 | Lost 10-20 | Lost / Under |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Falcons | @Vikings | -5 / 47.5 | Lost 28-41 | Lost / Over |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Falcons | Vikings | -10 / 44 | Won 24-14 | Push / Under |
| Dec 21, 2008 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3.5 / 43.5 | Won 24-17 | Won / Under |
| Sep 9, 2007 | Falcons | @Vikings | +3 / 35 | Lost 3-24 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 2, 2005 | Falcons | Vikings | -6 / 44.5 | Won 30-10 | Won / Under |
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta
These are the Falcons at Vikings Betting trends for Atlanta:
- Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
- Five of Atlanta’s last six games have hit the under.
- Atlanta is 2-4 SU in six games.
- Atlanta is 1-5 ATS against Minnesota in their previous six meetings.
- In their previous six games against Minnesota, Atlanta is 1-5 SU.
- Atlanta is 5-15 SU in 20 away games.
- Atlanta is 4-12 SU in 16 away games vs Minnesota.
- Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in their last six NFL games.
- Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its previous seven games versus NFC North teams.
- Atlanta has scored under in nine of its last eleven December games.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Best Bets
Now on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the best bets for Atlanta:
- Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of 17 games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI).
- Atlanta Falcons have achieved the 4Q Game Total Under (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI) in 11 of 17 games.
- Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in seven of their last ten away games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI).
- The Atlanta Falcons have nailed the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of 17 games (+1.80 Units / 9% ROI).
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in four of eight road games (+1.30 Units / 13% ROI).
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Best Atlanta Player Prop Bets
Next on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the best player prop bets for Atlanta:
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI) in 12 of 17 games.
- Kirk Cousins has underrushed in eight of his last nine games (+6.25 Units / 51% ROI).
- Cousins has hit the TD Passes Under (+4.05 Units / 34% ROI) in seven of his last ten games.
- In five of his last six away games, Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Under (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI).
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Carries Under in six of his last eight away games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI).
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the ATS record for Atlanta:
- Atlanta is 5-7 against the spread this season (-2.8 units / -20.9% ROI).
- Falcons are 6-6 on the moneyline for -1.6 Units/-8.79% ROI.
- Falcons are 4-8 betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI.
- Falcons 8-4 on Under for +3.6 Units / ROI.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Keys to the Game
Next on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the keys to the game for Atlanta:
- Falcons are 3-0 versus top 10 offenses this season, T-best in NFL (league average.369).
- This season, the Falcons are 5-2 (.714) when forcing turnovers, ninth in the NFL. This season, the Vikings have 19 turnovers, T-4th in the NFL.
- The Falcons are 10-5 (.667) when forcing turnovers since 2023, 10th in the NFL. The Vikings have 53 turnovers since 2023, second in the NFL.
- The Falcons were 1-5 (.167) last season when the opponent team converted at least 55% of red zone opportunities into touchdowns, T-2nd in the NFL; League Average:.440.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Offense Stats
Now on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the offense stats for Atlanta:
- The NFL average is 57%, while the Falcons targeted wide receivers 39% (209 pass attempts/530 plays) last season.
- Falcons average 0.83 epa per play against a strong rush this season, the best in the NFL (league average is -0.01).
- Since 2023, the Falcons have had the highest NFL average of 0.55 epa per play against a strong rush; league average: -0.05.
- This season, the Falcons’ quarterback scrambles average -1.18 epa per play, the lowest in the NFL (-0.30).
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Atlanta Defense Stats
Next on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the defense stats for Atlanta:
- Compared to the league average of 14.0, the Falcons defense averages a sack per 27.7 pass attempts (416 pass attempts/15 sacks) this season.
- The Falcons have sacked opposing quarterbacks on 4% of pass attempts (15/416), the lowest in the NFL compared to 7%.
- The NFL average is 45%, but the Falcons defense has allowed 8% of fourth-quarter pass attempts since Week 10.
- The Falcons have forced three-and-outs on 31% of opponent possessions in the fourth quarter, the NFL’s best rate.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota
These are the Falcons at Vikings Betting trends for Minnesota:
- Minnesota has gone UNDER in four of its last five games.
- Minnesota is 5-0 SU in their last five.
- The total has been under in seven of Minnesota’s 10 games against Atlanta.
- Five of Minnesota’s previous six home games have scored under.
- Minnesota is 12-4 SU in 16 home games against Atlanta.
- Minnesota has overscored in four of its five NFL games.
- Minnesota has won 5-1 versus NFC South teams in their last six.
- Minnesota is 0-6-2 ATS in their last eight December games.
- Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in their last six Sunday home games.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Best Bets
Now on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the best bets for Minnesota:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the moneyline 14 times in 20 games (+9.20 units / 32% ROI).
- The Minnesota Vikings have nailed the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of 20 games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI).
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of 20 games (+4.84 Units / 19% ROI).
- Minnesota Vikings have achieved the 3Q Game Total Over (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI) in 11 of 17 games.
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of 20 games (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI).
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets
Next on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the best player prop bets for Minnesota:
- Sam Darnold has scored TDs in nine of his last twelve games (+6.45 units / 46% ROI).
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carriers Over in 12 of 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI).
- Josh Oliver has over-received in six of his previous seven games (+5.70 units / 61% ROI).
- Sam Darnold has hit the Completions Under in nine of his last twelve games (+5.60 Units / 39% ROI).
- In his last five games, Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under (+5.20 Units / 68% ROI).
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the ATS record for Minnesota:
- This NFL season, the Vikings are 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI) against the spread.
- Vikings are 10-2 on the moneyline for +8.35 Units/41.75% ROI.
- Vikings are 4-8 betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI.
- When betting the Under for +3.6 Units, the Vikings are 8-4 with 27.27% ROI.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Keys to the Game
Next on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the keys to the game for Minnesota:
- Since 2023, the Vikings are 8-4 (.667) when allowing fewer than three sacks, T-10th in the NFL. The Falcons have averaged 2.0 sacks per game, second-worst in the NFL.
- When they failed to intercept passes last season, the Vikings finished 1-8 (.111), third-worst in the NFL (league average.348).
- Vikings are 2-1 (.667) in sacking the quarterback fewer than three times this season, T-4th in the NFL (league average is.366).
- The Vikings are 5-0 when they allow fewer than five explosive passes, T-best in the NFL (.584).
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Offense Stats
Now on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the offense stats for Minnesota:
- The Vikings have completed 30% of red zone run attempts since 2023, while the NFL average is 45%.
- For the first quarter of the season, the Vikings have gone three and out on 7% of their drives, the NFL’s best rate.
- In Week 13, the Vikings had the lowest NFL third-down conversion rate at 12%.
- On motion plays, the Vikings have run 34% of rush attempts successfully since 2023, T-worst in the NFL (average: 42%).
Falcons at Vikings Betting Trends: Minnesota Defense Stats
Next on these Falcons at Vikings Betting trends, we have the defense stats for Minnesota:
- The Vikings defense has allowed 33% of rush attempts this season, the best in the NFL, with a league average of 43%.
- The Vikings allowed 29% of basic rush attempts last season, the highest in the NFL (the league average is 57%).
- The Vikings defense has allowed 37% of basic rushes since 2023, the highest in the NFL (normally 54%).
- This season, the Vikings defense has controlled the red zone on 30% of plays, the NFL’s highest rate.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Falcons at Vikings Betting prediction for both teams.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Prediction: Atlanta
This is the Falcons at Vikings Betting prediction for Atlanta.
Bijan Robinson leads the Atlanta Falcons with 885 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns, while Kirk Cousins throws for 3,052 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions on 67.4% throwing. Tyler Allgeier has 445 rushing yards, Drake London has a team-high 70 grabs for 796 yards and 6 touchdowns, and Darnell Mooney has 51 catches for 731 yards and 5 scores. Kyle Pitts has 494 yards and three touchdowns, Ray-Ray McCloud III 476, and Bijan Robinson 392 this year. Kaden Elliss leads the Falcons with 103 tackles, including 60 solo stops, and helps the defense record 15 sacks and 7 interceptions.
Falcons at Vikings Betting: Atlanta Injury Report
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| S | Micah Abernathy (Knee) | Out |
| DL | James Smith-Williams (Tibia) | Out |
| WR | Darnell Mooney (Achilles) | Probable |
| DB | Harrison Hand (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Rondale Moore (Knee) | Out |
| DL | Ta’Quon Graham (Pectoral) | Out |
| RB | Jase McClellan (Knee) | Questionable |
| DL | Zach Harrison (Achilles) | Questionable |
| ILB | Troy Andersen (Knee) | Probable |
| ILB | Nate Landman (Hamstring) | Questionable |
| S | DeMarcco Hellams (Ankle) | Out |
| OLB | Bralen Trice (Knee) | Out |
| DT | Ruke Orhorhoro (Ankle) | Questionable |
Falcons at Vikings Betting Prediction: Minnesota
This is the Falcons at Vikings Betting prediction for Minnesota.
Aaron Jones has ran for 820 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Sam Darnold has passed for 2,952 yards, 23 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, and 67.6% passing for the Minnesota Vikings. Jordan Addison has 575 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Justin Jefferson leads the Vikings with 68 receptions, 1,038 yards, and 5 touchdowns. Four other Vikings have 200+ receiving yards this year. Harrison Smith and Josh Metellus lead the defense with 71 tackles each, while Andrew Van Ginkel has 9 sacks. Jonathan Greenard had 10 sacks, Pat Jones II 7 sacks, Byron Murphy Jr. 5 interceptions, and Camryn Bynum 3 interceptions. Minnesota’s defense has 39 pressures and 18 interceptions this year.
Falcons at Vikings Betting: Minnesota Injury Report
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| CB | Stephon Gilmore (Hamstring) | Questionable |
| LS | Andrew DePaola (Hand) | Questionable |
| DL | Jonathan Bullard (Toe) | Probable |
| G | Dalton Risner (Back) | Questionable |
| OLB | Andrew Van Ginkel (Thigh) | Questionable |
| LB | Blake Cashman (Knee) | Probable |
| LB | Jordan Kunaszyk (Undisclosed) | Out |
| OT | Christian Darrisaw (Knee) | Out |
| OLB | Pat Jones II (Knee) | Questionable |
| S | Jay Ward (Elbow) | Questionable |
| LB | Ivan Pace Jr. (Hamstring) | Out |
| CB | Mekhi Blackmon (Knee) | Out |
| CB | NaJee Thompson (Knee) | Out |
| QB | J.J. McCarthy (Knee) | Out |
| K | Will Reichard (Thigh) | Questionable |
| OL | Jeremy Flax (Undisclosed) | Out |
| DL | Taki Taimani (Ankle) | Out |
Falcons at Vikings Betting Picks
Next, we have the Falcons at Vikings Betting picks for this game.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Prediction: MoneyLine
The Falcons enter week fourteen thirteenth in our offensive power rankings. They average 21.4 points and 360.6 yards per game, ranking 18th and 8th in the NFL. Atlanta ranks 4th in passing yards per game (242.8) and 12th in attempts (33.8). They run for 117.8 yards per game, 14th in attempts and yards. The Falcons convert 35.9% of 3rd downs, 23rd overall. They hit 38.9% of red zone attempts, ranking 9th.
In week 13, Kirk Cousins threw for 245 yards and four interceptions as the Chargers lost. Ray-Ray McCloud III led the receiving corps with 4 receptions for 95 yards, while Bijan Robinson ran for 102 yards and a touchdown on 26 runs. Atlanta scored seven points in the first quarter and six in the third, but not in the second or fourth. The Falcons went 1 for 4 in the red zone despite converting three of fourteen third-down attempts.
Our offensive power rankings place the Vikings 11th entering week 14. They average 24.8 points and 344.6 yards per game, ranking 8th and 13th in the NFL, respectively. After throwing for 330 yards in week 12, Sam Darnold threw for 235 yards and two touchdowns in week 13. The Minnesota attack relies largely on passing. Minnesota ranks 20th in pass attempts and 10th in passing yards per game, averaging 231.6 yards.
Minnesota averages 113 yards per game in rushing, 17th nationally. Aaron Jones ran for 106 yards in week 12, but the Vikings only ran for 68 yards on 15 attempts in week 13. With 38.7% 3rd down conversions, Minnesota ranks 14th nationally. Week 13 proved difficult, converting only one of eight attempts.
- Free MoneyLine Falcons at Vikings Betting Pick: MINNESOTA.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Prediction: Total
Despite their strong defense, the Falcons lost 17-13 to the Chargers in their last game. Atlanta’s defense limited the Chargers to 187 total yards and 131 passing yards on 70.8% completions. They held the rush to 56 yards on 17 attempts.
Atlanta’s defense also had five stops and limited the Chargers to 27.3% third-down conversions. However, the Falcons failed to make enough defensive stops in the final minutes to win.
Vikings’ defense allowed 406 yards, including 154 rushing yards on 31 attempts, in their 23-22 win over Cardinals. The Cardinals completed 68.9% of their throws for 252 yards, while Minnesota allowed 5.6 yards per attempt. Despite this, the Vikings’ defense recorded two interceptions and held Arizona to 38.5% third-down conversions.
Minnesota’s defense finished -1 in tackles for loss after failing to secure a single rush. The Vikings will want to improve their yardage and run defense in their next game.
- Free Total Falcons at Vikings Betting Pick: OVER.
Falcons at Vikings Betting Prediction: Spread
In week 14, Atlanta hopes to end a three-game losing streak, which includes a 17-13 home loss to the Chargers in week 13. This dropped the Falcons to 6-6, but their 4-1 division record kept them as NFC South leaders. They are fourth in the NFC and 6-2 in conference. Our estimates give Atlanta a 52.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 49.2% chance of winning the division.
The Falcons are 5-7 against the spread, but they have lost three straight. Underdogs versus the Chargers, they failed to cover the spread. Atlanta was under for the fourth straight game. Their over/under is 4-8 this season.
The Falcons have lost their last three regular season games, going 0-3. Their over-under and ATS records were 0-3. Atlanta is 3-2 in their last five road games. They scored 22 points per game and conceded 25. Additionally, the squad went 3-2 against the spread.
After a 23-22 win over the Cardinals in week 13, the Vikings have won five straight and are 10-2. Minnesota led 3.5 points at home but couldn’t beat the spread. The 45 points were slightly below the 45.5-point line. First, they beat the Jaguars, Titans, and Bears while traveling. They beat the Colts 21-13 in week 9 after losing to the Rams and Lions.
Our estimates give the Vikings a 99.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 10% chance of winning the NFC North. These players rank eighth in our NFL power rankings and are 7-4-1 against the spread this season. They have a 4-8 over/under record with 43 points per game and 44.4 lines.
Minnesota is 2-1 in its last three games. This includes a 1-2 over-under and 1-2 spread record. Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-2-1 and an average of 23 points in their last five home games. The team went 4-1 in these games.
- Free Spread Falcons at Vikings Betting Pick: ATLANTA.
FREE Falcons at Vikings Betting Picks
- Free MoneyLine Falcons at Vikings Betting Pick: MINNESOTA.
- Free Total Falcons at Vikings Betting Pick: OVER.
- Free Spread Falcons at Vikings Betting Pick: ATLANTA.
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