If you’re an NFL betting buff that is looking to cash in on some Week 14 Over/Under picks, then you’ve come to the right place YouWager gridiron gamers!
With Russell Wilson and the streaking Seattle Seahawks looking to take another step toward securing a playoff berth and Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings now in all-out desperation mode, I believe Monday’s night’s highly intriguing matchup between the two NFC playoff contenders is offering a bunch of O/U total betting value.
Now, let’s find out where that value lies.
Monday Night Football: Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
What: Monday Night Football: Minnesota Vikings (6-5-1) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5)
When: Monday, December 10, 2018, 8:15 PM ET
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA
TV: ESPN, DTV: 206
Likely Light Rain Showers: 7°C | 45°F
Wind: 6 MPH SW
Stadium Type: Open Air
Minnesota comes into this matchup in the midst of some real struggles recently. The Vikings have dropped two of their last three games including their humbling 24-10 loss to New England on Sunday while never coming close to covering the chalk as a 6-point road underdog as I predicted. Kirk Cousins passed for a modest 201 yards and one touchdown but he also tossed two costly interceptions as the Vikings failed to get on the board in the first and fourth quarters. Minnesota averages a modest 22.9 points per game (18th) while allowing a nearly identical 22.5 points per contest defensively (14th).
“Obviously we’ve got to get better. I’ve got to get better,” wide receiver Adam Thielen said. “I didn’t make the plays I needed to.”
• Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games in December.
• Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 Monday games.
• Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games following a straight up loss.
• Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games overall.
• Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games in Week 14.
• Over is 6-2 in Vikings last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle has won three straight and five of seven to give their playoff hopes a big boost. The Seahawks laid an emphatic 43-16 smackdown on overmatched San Francisco on Sunday to easily cover the chalk as a 10-point road favorite. Russell Wilson tossed four TD passes in the win to lead the streaking Seahawks to their third straight win and boost their chances of reaching the playoffs.
“We didn’t throw it that much but we were able to make some huge plays when we did,” Wilson said who went 11 of 17 for a modest 185 yards.
Seattle averages 26.6 points per game to rank ninth in scoring while limiting the opposition to just 21.6 points per game defensively to rank 10th in points allowed.
• Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 vs. NFC.
• Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games in December.
• Under is 6-2 in Seahawks last 8 Monday games.
• Over is 9-4 in Seahawks last 13 games in Week 14.
Expert Pick and Prediction
I’m going to get right to my pick on this Monday Night Football matchup by saying that I like the Over 45.5 total points for a handful of reasons. First, Seattle is playing some highly effective football on offense in scoring 30 points or more in three of their last four games while scoring 27 points or more in seven of their last eight games overall.
In addition to that, Minnesota isn’t playing particularly well on defense, having allowed 24 points or more three times in their last five games. The Over is 5-2 in Minnesota’s last seven road games and an identical 5-2 in Seattle’s last 7 home games. The Over is also an unblemished 4-0 in Seattle’s last 4 games overall and a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams when they meet in Seattle.
Predicted Score Seattle Seahawks 27 | Minnesota Vikings 21