If you like Over/Under total betting like I do, then you’re in for a sweet treat as I offer up my expert pick on Monday Night Football’s matchup featuring Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons hosting Eli Manning and the New York Giants.
With the G-Men look to snap a three-game losing streak and the Falcons looking to record consecutive victories, let’s find out whether the Over or Under is the best Total pick in this contest.
Monday Night Football: New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons
Game Information
🏈: Monday Night Football: New York Giants (1-5) at Atlanta Falcons (2-4)
⏰: Mon. Oct 22, 2018 8:15 PM ET
🏟️: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
📺: ESPN, DTV: 206
🎰: Atlanta Falcons -3½ -110 | -200 | U 54 -110
New York Giants
The Giants (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) got overwhelmed in their emphatic 34-13 Week 6 loss against Carson Wentz and the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles last weekend. New York was clearly overmatched in every way, except for superstar rookie running back Saquon Barkley that is.
While Eli Manning was under pressure from the outset and harassed into a discouraging 24 of 43 passing day for 281 yards with no touchdowns and one interception, Barkley was a one-man highlight reel in rushing for 130 yards and one touchdown on just 13 carries while adding nine receptions for an additional 99 yards to narrowly miss out on becoming the first player in franchise history with a 100-yard rushing and receiving performance in the same game.
“We didn’t do anything well enough to win tonight,” Giants coach Pat Shurmur said. “Credit Philadelphia. Good football team.”
The game played Over the 45-point total one week after the G-Men played Over a 43.5-point total against Carolina.
New York Giants
- Offense: 19.50
- Defense: 27.00
- Differential: -7.5
- Passing yards: 260.83
- Rush yards: 87.50
- Passing yards allowed: 236.33
- Rushing yards allowed: 121.67
- Turnover differential: 0.67
Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons (2-4 SU,2-4 ATS) got past Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-29 in a wild shootout last weekend in a game that played Over the 57-point total. Matt Ryan passed for 355 yards and three touchdowns in the win and the Falcons held on to stop a furious comeback attempt to avoid their first 1-5 start since 2007.
“It was all hands on deck,” Atlanta coach Dan Quinn said.
Atlanta has played Over the total in five straight heading into Week 7.
Atlanta Falcons
- Offense: 27.83
- Defense: 32.00
- Differential: -4.17
- Passing yards: 311.17
- Rush yards: 86.00
- Passing yards allowed: 295.83
- Rushing yards allowed: 121.67
- Turnover differential: -0.67
Expert Pick and Prediction
If you’re thinking the 54-point total for this contest looks a bit high, I wouldn’t worry about it at all, the Falcons and Giants look like near locks to top this total if you ask me. While the Under is 9-4 in New York’s last 13 games, the Over has been a virtual lock for a Falcons team that is scoring – and giving up points – like they’re going out of style this season. The Over is 5-0 in Atlanta’s last 5 games, 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 11-1-1 in their last 13 games against a team with a losing record and 7-1 in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record. I like the Over here and you should too!
Predicted Score Atlanta 35 New York Giants 24
