If you’re a pro football betting enthusiast that is looking for value in Week 10 in the forms of ‘near-lock’ favorites, then consider your ticket punched. I’ve got a trio of NFL Week 10 picks that all have the look of near locks that you should not let pass this coming weekend.
With that thought in mind, let’s find out who my top three favorites on the Week 10 schedule are.
Back with the Brotherhood.
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— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) November 8, 2018
New England Patriots Vs Tennessee Titans
Game Information
🏈: New England Patriots (7-2) at Tennessee Titans (4-4)
⏰: Sunday, November 11, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
📺: CBS, DTV: 708
🎰: New England Patriots: -6½ -115 | -270 | O 46½ -110
The Tennessee Titans managed to snap their three-game losing streak by overpowering Dallas en route to a convincing 28-14 smackdown of the Cowboys on Monday night as quarterback Marcus Mariota tossed two touchdowns and ran for another. The bad news for Tennessee heading into their Week 10 matchup is that, not only have Tom Brady and company won six consecutive games, but they’ve scored 31 points or more in five of those contest while scoring 38 or more four times. While New England allows about four points per game more than Tennessee does defensively this season, the Patriots also average a whopping 14.9 points per game more than the offensively-challenged Titans.
New England has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November, a stellar 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a losing record and a consistent 23-8 ATS in their last 3games against their AFC counterparts. Conversely, Marcus Mariota and the struggling Titans are a nearly winless 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Week 10 games, an uninspiring 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games in the month of November and a pitiful 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Last but not least, Tom Brady and the Pats are an unblemished 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings while the favorite in this rivalry has gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Keep it simple, the Patriots are by far the better team in this affair and they’re on a red-hot roll. New England wins and covers.
Predicted Score: New England Patriots 31 | Tennessee Titans 17
New Orleans Saints Vs Cincinnati Bengals
Game Information
🏈: New Orleans Saints (7-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-3)
⏰: Sunday, November 11, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
📺: FOX, DTV: 710
🎰: New Orleans Saints: -6 -105 | -250 | O 54 -110
I picked Cincinnati to surprise this season and they haven’t really disappointed seeing as how the Bengals are sitting at a solid 5-3 at the midway point of their season. Unfortunately for Cincy, they’re going to be taking on future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees and an incendiary New Orleans Saints team that suddenly looks like the favorite in the NFC from where I’m sitting.
While Cincy is well-rested after getting a bye this past weekend following their 37-34 win over Tampa Bay two weeks ago, New Orleans has the statistical edge on both sides of the ball in this contest and they looked utterly unstoppable in their convincing
45-35 win over the previously unbeaten Los Angeles Rams on Sunday.
While Cincinnati has gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a winning road record, Drew Brees and the Saints have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous games and a pay day-producing 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games. The Saints have won seven straight and I have no doubt that they’ll make it eight in a row while covering the spread with room to spare.
Predicted Score: New Orleans Saints 31 | Cincinnati Bengals 23
Atlanta Falcons Vs Cleveland Browns
Game Information
🏈: Atlanta Falcons (4-4) at Cleveland Browns (2-6-1)
⏰: Sunday, November 11, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: FirstEnergy Stadium Cleveland, Cleveland, OH
📺: FOX, DTV: 711
🎰: Atlanta Falcons: -4½ -110 | -220 | O 50½ -110
I have absolutely no idea why Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons aren’t a near, double-digit road favorite against the reeling Browns, but whatever…I’ll keep my mouth shut and take the Falcons as a near lock at -4 points. Atlanta has won three consecutive games and smacked Washington senseless in their statement-making 38-14 win over the Skins on Sunday. Cleveland has lost four straight including their humbling 37-21 loss against Kansas City this past weekend. The Falcons have some serious motivation and they average about a touchdown more per game than the Browns. Cleveland is pretty much playing out the string while focusing all of their attention on getting Baker Mayfield just the right new head coach next season.
Atlanta has gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November and a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. On the flip side of the coin, Cleveland has gone a pitiful 14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games and 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games in November. Atlanta wins and covers the chalk as an insanely low 4-point road favorite.
Predicted Score: Atlanta Falcons 35 | Cleveland Browns 21
