Can the Cleveland Browns keep up their eye-opening play to take down the Los Angeles Chargers at home?
Can Matt Ryan and the banged-up Atlanta Falcons bounce back from a humbling loss to take down a dysfunctional Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that is desperate for its own win in Week 6?
Do the Dallas Cowboys stand a chance to win or cash in against Blake Bortles and the visiting Jacksonville Jaguars?
Last but not least, are the unbeaten Los Angeles Rams a lock to get past Case Keenum and the Denver Broncos despite being on the road this coming weekend?
If you’re looking for betting value on the NFL Week 6 regular season schedule, then consider your ticket punched! You’re about to get a whopping four Week 6 picks on a quartet of favorites that you just shouldn’t let pass.
Okay, with all of that said, let’s get started.
"I just remember last year leaving the game thinking it was a heck of a group."
— Los Angeles Chargers (@Chargers) October 11, 2018
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns
🏈: Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-2-1)
⏰: Sun. Oct 14, 2018 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: FirstEnergy Stadium Cleveland, Cleveland, OH
📺: FOX, DTV: 714
🎰: Los Angeles Chargers -1½ -110 | -125 | O 44½ -110
While the Chargers have mostly underachieved this season and the Browns have played to their full potential, for the most part, I’m going to urge you to back Philip Rivers and the visiting Bolts in this contest simply because they are more desperate, have a bit more overall talent on their roster and the edge at quarterback and on defense. Los Angeles has won two straight and held Oakland to just 10 points on Sunday.
Cleveland has gone to overtime in each of their last two games while gutting out a huge 12-9 home win over Baltimore on Sunday. Still, I like the visiting Chargers to narrowly get past a suddenly competitive Browns bunch. Cleveland has gone 3-14-1 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record.
Philip Rivers and the Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five Week 6 contests, 4-1 ATS in their last five games in the month of October and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a losing home record. The Bolts get the outright road win to cover the chalk!
Predicted Score: Chargers 27 Browns 24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
🏈: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) at Atlanta Falcon (1-4)
⏰: Sun. Oct 14, 2018 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
📺: FOX, DTV: 709
🎰: Atlanta Falcons -3 +100 | -145 | U 57 -110
I know Atlanta got dominated in their humbling 41-17 smackdown against Pittsburgh, but the Falcons are still my pick to win and cash in against Tampa Bay in their Week 6 matchup for several reasons. First and foremost, the Bucs looked completely disgraceful the last time we saw them suffering a 48-10 smackdown loss against Chicago two weeks ago.
Atlanta has won three straight against Tampa Bay and five of the last eight meetings overall. The Buccaneers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games in the month of October and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record. More importantly, since starting the season off by routing two unsuspecting opponents, the Bucs have reverted back to being a dysfunctional team that does n’t look anything like a winning organization. Maybe it’s me, but right now, Tampa Bay just can’t be trusted.
Predicted Score: Falcons 31 Buccaneers 27
Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys
🏈: Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-3)
⏰: Sun. Oct 14, 2018 4:25 PM ET
🏟️: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
📺: CBS, DTV: 715
🎰: Jacksonville Jaguars -3 -115 | -165 | O 40½ -110
I don’t care that Jacksonville got smacked around by the unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs 30-14 last weekend and I don’t care that they will be without powerful running back Leonard Fournette for this contest against Dallas. The Jags are the fare better defensive team in this Week 6 Inter-Conference clash and they’ll be facing a Cowboys team that is virtually bereft of talent at the skill positions on offense outside of star running back Ezekiel Elliott and quarterback Dak Prescott, who I’m now, not quite sure is as good as everyone originally thought.
The Jaguars are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. Dallas has gone 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Despite their injuries and the fact that they’re on the road, Jacksonville is a virtual lock in this one.
Predicted Score: Jacksonville 27 Dallas 21
Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos
🏈: Los Angeles Rams (5-0) at Denver Broncos (2-3)
⏰: Sun. Oct 14, 2018 4:05 PM ET
🏟️: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, CO
📺: FOX, DTV: 714
🎰: Los Angeles Rams -7 +100 | -300 | O 52 -110
LA got past Seattle 33-31 in a thriller on Sunday while Denver got completely manhandled in their humbling 34-16 road loss against the rebuilding New York Jets on Sunday. I won’t waste anyone’s time beating around the bush with my Week 6 pick on this Inter-Conference pairing since Los Angeles is the easy pick to win and cash in despite being on the road and having two of their top three receivers questionable because of concussions.
The Broncos are a seriously discouraging 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games and those two trends, combined with the fact that L.A. is far superior on both sides of the ball, lead me to the conclusion that the Rams will win and cover the chalk with room to spare!
Predicted Score: Rams 31 Broncos 20