If you’re an NFL betting enthusiast that is looking for underdogs offering big value against their respective Week 6 NFL odds, then you’ve come to the right place. I’ve got a trio of expert picks on three underdogs that are all offering some excellent underdog value for their own distinct reasons. With the weekend quickly approaching, let’s get down to business.
We placed the following players on Injured Reserve:
G Laurent Duvernay-Tardif
DB Armani Watts
We signed free agent LB Frank Zombo.
We moved LB Robert McCray to Practice Squad; Injured. pic.twitter.com/ZtkGwbA4vX
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 9, 2018
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
🏈: Buffalo Bills (2-3) at Houston Texans (2-3)
⏰: Sun. Oct 14, 2018 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
📺: CBS, DTV: 707
The Bills have been wildly inconsistent in getting blown out 47-3 in their season opener at Baltimore and winning two of their last three games while not allowing a single touchdown in either win. Houston however, has also been wildly unpredictable in losing their first three games of the season before winning two straight – by an identical three points.
All of this unpredictable – and the underachieving ways of Houston – tells me the Bills are the pick to cover the chalk as a big, 8.5-point road dog. Buffalo has gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of October and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after putting up less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Conversely, Houston has gone 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and a seriously discouraging 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
While I’m not going to pick the Bills to get the outright road win, I think they should be closer to a 6-point underdog than the touchdown-plus dog they currently are. Take the points and back the Bills to cover.
Predicted Score: Texans 27 Bills 20
Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans
🏈: Baltimore Ravens (3-2) at Tennessee Titans (3-2)
⏰: Sun. Oct 14, 2018 4:25 PM ET
🏟️: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
📺: CBS, DTV: 716
🎰: Baltimore Ravens -3 +100 | -150 | O 41 -110
Baltimore kicked off the regular season with an emphatic 47-3 beatdown over Buffalo, but the Ravens have been wildly inconsistent in splitting their last four games while losing to division rival Cincinnati and Cleveland along the way. Tennessee has also been wildly unpredictable in losing their opener at mediocre Miami before winning three straight and then suffering a perplexing loss at Buffalo this past weekend.
With both of these teams looking nearly identical in many ways, I’m going to say the safe pick is to back the Titans as a surprising home underdog. The Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road dates against Tennessee and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings against the Titans overall.
Tennessee has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. I like the Titans to cover the chalk by winning outright at home in what looks like an ugly affair just waiting to happen.
Predicted Score: Titans 23 Ravens 21
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
🏈: Sunday Night Football: Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) at New England Patriots (3-2)
⏰: Sun. Oct 14, 2018 8:20 PM ET
🏟️: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
🎰: New England Patriots -3½ -110 | -190 | U 59 -110
I know the Patriots have looked good in winning each of their last two games while putting an identical 38 points on the board in each contest, but I still like Kansas City as the underdog pick here plus 3.5 points for several reasons. First, the Chiefs have a virtually unstoppable offense that features a bunch of big-time playmakers like Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Kareem Hunt. Another reason I like Kansas City in this affair is because Chiefs head coach Andy Reid seemingly has Patriots’ head coach Bill Belichick’s number.
Kansas City has won two of the last three meetings against the Pats, including a 42-27 beatdown last season when Alex Smith was still their starting quarterback. Now that the Chiefs have turned over the keys to gifted, second-year signal-caller Patrick Mahomes, they’ve become virtually unstoppable.
Kansas City has gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 5-0 ATS this season, a consistent 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of October. I know Tom Brady and the Patriots are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win and 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a winning record, but I don’t believe the Patriots have what it takes to stop the explosive Chiefs, much like everyone else has done against Kansas City so far this season. I’m going with Kansas City for the outright road win.
Predicted Score: Chiefs 31 Patriots 28