North Carolina vs Alabama Betting odds, trends, and picks for this Sweet 16, March Madness 2024 game. Place a bet on this college basketball game now at YouWager.lv.

When the No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (29-7) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-11) meet in the Sweet 16, one will advance to the NCAA Tournament’s Elite Eight. This game will air on CBS at 9:39 p.m. ET on Thursday.

The Tar Heels, 4-point favorites, will face the Crimson Tide. The duel had a point total of 173.5.

North Carolina is 21-15-0 ATS this season, while Alabama is 19-15-0. This season, the Tar Heels have seen 19 games go over, while the Crimson Tide have 25. The clubs average 172.5 points per game, one fewer than the total for this meeting. In the last 10 games, North Carolina is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall, while Alabama is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

Here’s everything you should know about Thursday’s NCAA basketball matchup.

North Carolina vs Alabama Betting Odds

Here are the North Carolina vs Alabama Betting odds:

TEAM SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
ALABAMA
 +4 +167 Over 173
NORTH CAROLINA
 -4 -195 Under 173

Place a bet at YouWager.lv nowNorth Carolina vs Alabama Betting Trends

Here are the North Carolina vs Alabama Betting trends for moneyline, ATS and total:

Moneyline

  • This season, North Carolina has won 81.2% of its games as the moneyline favorite (26-6).
  • When the moneyline is -184 or less, the Tar Heels are 20-4 (winning 83.3% of the time).
  • North Carolina has a 64.8% chance of winning this game, according to the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Alabama has won two of its nine games this season as underdogs.
  • This season, the Crimson Tide has won two of seven games as underdogs against moneylines of at least +153.
  • The moneyline at the bookies shows Alabama with a 39.5% chance of winning. Here is everything you need to know about the game on Thursday.

Against the Spread

  • North Carolina has a 21-15-0 ATS record this season.
  • Alabama has won 19 games this season against the spread but failed to cover 15 times.
  • The Tar Heels average 81.8 points per game, which is just 0.9 more than what the Crimson Tide allow (80.9).
  • North Carolina is 11-5 against the spread and 14-2 overall when scoring at least 80.9 points.
  • When Alabama allows fewer than 81.8 points, it is 13-3 against the spread and 15-1 overall.
  • The Crimson Tide scores 20.7 points more per game (90.7) than the Tar Heels allow (70).
  • Alabama is 17-13 ATS and 21-10 overall when scoring 70 or more points.
  • North Carolina is 17-13 against the spread and 24-6 overall when they allow fewer than 90.7 points.

Over/Under

  • This season, the Tar Heels’ average estimated point total is 80.8, which is 8.2 points lower than Thursday’s implied total of 89.
  • This season, North Carolina has scored more than 89 points nine times.
  • The Crimson Tide’s season-average implied point total (87.1 points) is 2.1 points higher than their implied total in this game (85).
  • This season, Alabama has scored more than 85 points in 22 games.

North Carolina vs Alabama Betting: Last 10 Games

  • North Carolina has gone 9-1 in its last 10 games, with a 6-4 mark against the spread.
  • Five of the Tar Heels’ ten games against their opponents have gone over.
  • North Carolina’s average total in the last 10 games is 28.3 points lower than the 173.5 over/under set for this matchup.
  • The Tar Heels’ per-game scoring average over the last ten games is 2.7 points lower than their season average.
  • Alabama is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last ten games.
  • Eight of the Crimson Tide’s last ten games have gone beyond the total.
  • Alabama and its opponents have averaged 172.2 total points over the last 10 games, which is 1.3 less than the 173.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the last ten games, the Crimson Tide has averaged 1.1 more points than their season average of 90.7 PPG.

North Carolina Tar Heels Insights

First, we have the North Carolina vs Alabama Betting insights for the Tar Heels.

North Carolina’s +426 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.8 points per game) comes from averaging 81.8 points per game (20th in NCAA basketball) and allowing 70 points per game (112th).

North Carolina dominates the rebounding battle, with an average of 7.3 boards. It averages 40.9 rebounds per game, ranking sixth in collegiate basketball, compared to 33.6 for its opponents.

The Tar Heels make 8 three-pointers a game (119th in college basketball) at a 35.8% clip (80th in college basketball), while their opponents make 7 and shoot 31.7% from deep.

North Carolina’s offense ranks 29th in college basketball, averaging 102.5 points per 100 possessions, while their defense ranks 41st, averaging 87.7.

The Tar Heels average 87.5 points per game at home, compared to 71.8 points on the road, for a 15.7-point lead per game.

Alabama Crimson Tide Insights

Now, we have the North Carolina vs Alabama Betting insights for the Crimson Tide.

Alabama leads its opponents by 9.8 points per game and has a +334 scoring differential overall. It averages 90.7 points per game (first in college basketball) and allows 80.9 points per game (355th).

Alabama averages 39.7 rebounds per game (22nd in NCAA basketball) while allowing 35.5 to opponents. It outrebounds its opponents by 4.2 rebounds per game.

Alabama averages 11 three-pointers per game (the third highest in NCAA basketball), 3.7 more than its opponents. It shoots 36.7% from deep (ranked 29th in NCAA basketball), compared to 31.3% for its opponents.

Alabama’s offensive scoring rate of 106.7 points per 100 possessions is fifth in college basketball, while its defensive rating of 95.2 points per 100 possessions is 254th.

The Crimson Tide average 93.9 points per game at home and 87.3 on the road.

North Carolina Key Players to Watch

RJ Davis leads the Tar Heels in scoring, averaging 21.3 points per game, 3.6 rebounds, and 3.4 assists.

North Carolina’s leading rebounder, Armando Bacot, averages 10.2 per game, while Elliot Cadeau is the team’s best passer, averaging 4.1 assists.

Davis leads the Tar Heels in three-pointers made, averaging 3.1 per game.

Ingram Harrison and Bacot lead North Carolina’s defense, with Ingram averaging 1.4 thefts and Bacot averaging 1.4 blocks per game.

Alabama Key Players to Watch

Aaron Estrada leads the Crimson Tide in both rebounds and assists, averaging 5.4 and 4.6 per game.

Alabama’s leading scorer, Mark Sears, averages 21.5 points per game. He also grabs 4.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists each game.

Sears averages 2.4 three-pointers a game, the most on the Crimson Tide.

Sears leads Alabama in steals (1.7 per game), while Grant Nelson leads the team in blocks (1.6 per game).

 North Carolina vs Alabama Betting Picks

Here are the North Carolina vs Alabama Betting picks:

  • Pick ATS: Alabama
  • Pick OU: Under

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