Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, Prediction, Odds, Divisional Round. The game is set for Saturday, January 18th, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds
Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
TEXANS | +9 | +375 | 41.5 O |
CHIEFS | -9 | -475 | 41.5 U |
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win AFC Conference
Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to win Super Bowl LIX:
- Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win AFC Conference for Houston: +1800
- Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win AFC Conference for Kansas City: +135
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX
Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to win Super Bowl LIX:
- Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX for Houston: +5000
- Texans vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX for Kansas City: +325
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends
Here are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Head-to-Head
Now in these Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 21, 2024 | Chiefs | Texans | -3.5 / 43 | Won 27-19 | Won / Over |
Dec 18, 2022 | Chiefs | @Texans | -14.5 / 48.5 | Won 30-24 | Lost / Over |
Sep 10, 2020 | Chiefs | Texans | -9.5 / 53.5 | Won 34-20 | Won / Over |
Jan 12, 2020 | Chiefs | Texans | -10 / 50.5 | Won 51-31 | Won / Over |
Oct 13, 2019 | Chiefs | Texans | -3.5 / 54.5 | Lost 24-31 | Lost / Over |
Aug 9, 2018 | Chiefs | Texans | -2.5 / 34.5 | Lost 10-17 | Lost / Under |
Oct 8, 2017 | Chiefs | @Texans | -2 / 45 | Won 42-34 | Won / Over |
Sep 18, 2016 | Chiefs | Texans | +1 / 41.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Jan 9, 2016 | Chiefs | Texans | +3 / 39.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Sep 13, 2015 | Chiefs | Texans | +1 / 41 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston
These are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends for Houston:
- In their last six games, Houston has gone 4-2 as a favorite.
- Texas has lost six of its last nine games against Kansas City and is now 3-6 against the spread.
- Houston has lost all five of their last six games against Kansas City.
- Within the last five games between Houston and Kansas City, the total has gone OVER four times.
- Houston has a 12-5 SU record in its last 17 games against teams from the American Football Conference.
- The number has been higher than the set limit in five of Houston’s last six games against teams from the American Football Conference West.
- Houston has covered the spread in five of its last six January games and won all of them.
- Houston has won six of their last eight Saturday games (6-2 SU).
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Best Bets
Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Houston:
- There has been a 33% return on investment (+11.65 units) when the Houston Texans cover the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games.
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of the last 22 games, giving investors a 43% return on their money (+11.10 units).
- They’ve covered the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games, giving you a +5.90 Units / 22% ROI.
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games, giving bettors a 25% return on their money (+5.85 units).
- Seven out of the last ten away games for the Houston Texans have gone over the 4Q Game Total (+3.90 Units / 34% ROI).
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Player Prop Bets
Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best player prop bets for Houston:
- There have been 13 of C.J. Stroud’s last 18 games where the over was a winner (+8.15 units, or 36% ROI).
- Since the beginning of the season, Ka’imi Fairbairn has made the field goal over 13 times out of the last 18 games (+6.20 units / 23% ROI).
- Joe Mixon has gone over the Rushing Yards Over (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI) in six of his last seven away games.
- Joe Mixon has had a Carries Under in six of the last seven games, which has given us a 60% ROI and a 4.75-unit win.
- In seven of his last nine away games, C.J. Stroud has kept the ball below the goal line (+4.70 units, or 45% ROI).
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the ATS record for Houston:
- This NFL season, the Texans are 8-8 against the spread, which means they lost 0.65 units and had a 3.3% return on investment.
- If you bet on the Moneyline for +1.4 units or a 4.33% return, the Texans are 11-7.
- If you bet on the over, the Texans are 7-10, giving you a -4.1 unit/-20.6% ROI.
- For +2.3 units/ROI, bets on the under, and the Texans are 10-7.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Keys to the Game
Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we continue with the keys to the game for Houston:
- During this season, the Texans went 6-0 when the other team scored a touchdown in less than 55% of its red zone chances. With a record of.599, this is the T-best mark in the NFL.
- The Texans have a terrible record (0-4) when they are behind at the end of the first half. This is the second-worst record in the NFL; the league average is.243.
- The Texans were 6-0 this season when they turned at least 55% of their red zone chances into scores. That was the second-best record in the NFL; the league average is.611.
- This season, the Texans were 6-3 (.667) when they were within seven points at the two-minute warning. That’s the sixth-best record in the NFL in that situation. The average for the league is.500..
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Offense Important Stats
- It’s the lowest rate in the NFL, but the Texans only made plays on 34% of their rush tries this season. The average for the league is 43%.
- The Texans have made successful plays on just 31% of their third-quarter rush tries since the 2023 season. This is the lowest rate in the NFL. The average for the league is 43%.
- The Texans only got plays right 37% of the time this season, which is the second-lowest rate in the NFL. The average for the league is 43%.
- It took the Texans eight plays (0%) with 1-3 yards to go on second down in the last four weeks of the regular season to get a first down. This is the lowest rate in the NFL (league average: 65%).
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Houston Defense Important Stats
- The Texans had the best season in the NFL this year, even though they only ran 39% of their plays in their own area. The average for the league is 47%.
- They gave up just 64.7 passer ratings in the red zone (63 pass attempts) last season, which was the second-best mark in the NFL. It was 93.0 for the league.
- As of now, the Texans have only been part in 7% of plays in the red zone this season. That is the highest percentage in the NFL. It’s about 14% for the league.
- Only 10% of the plays the Texans had this season saw them targeted in the red zone. That’s the lowest rate in the NFL. The average for the league is 15%.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City
These are the Texans vs Chiefs Betting trends for Kansas City:
- Kansas City has lost three of their last eleven games against the spread.
- The sum has been less than the posted value in five of Kansas City’s last six games.
- Kansas City has an 18-2 over/under record in their last 20 games.
- The total has been over in six of Kansas City’s last six games against Houston.
- While playing at home, Kansas City has won all 11 of their most recent games.
- In four of Kansas City’s last five games, when they played at home against Houston, the total went over.
- The last 17 games Kansas City has played against teams in the American Football Conference have all been wins.
- The sum has been less than the posted value in six of Kansas City’s last eight games against teams from the American Football Conference South division.
- Kansas City has won 5 of their last 6 games against the spread in January.
- Kansas City has won 4 of their last 5 Saturday games against the spread.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Best Bets
Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Kansas City:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games, giving bettors a +6.05 Units / 18% ROI.
- In their last 22 games, the Kansas City Chiefs have won more than the 1H Game Total 14 times (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI).
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games, giving you a +5.85 Units / 26% ROI.
- Five out of the last six home games for the Kansas City Chiefs have seen the 1Q Moneyline hit. This has led to a +5.00 Units / 41% ROI.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have won nine of their last eleven home games under the odds (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI).
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Player Prop Best Bets
Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the player prop bets for Kansas City:
- In Xavier Worthy’s last seven games, the number of receptions has gone over (+7.80 units, or 92% ROI).
- Xavier Worthy has won more than the Receiving Yards Over seven times in a row (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI).
- Over the last seven games, Samaje Perine has gone over the Receiving Yards Over by 7.00 units, giving the team an 85% return on their investment.
- In his last six home games, Patrick Mahomes has thrown for more yards than the number of attempts (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI).
- By betting on the Rushing Yards Under (+6.00 Units), Carson Steele has made 88% of his bets in his last six games.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Now on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we continue with the ATS record for Kansas City:
- The Chiefs are 7-9 against the spread this NFL season, which means they have lost 2.75 units and given up 14.91 percent of their value.
- It has paid out +13.2 units or 27.85% if you bet on the Chiefs on the moneyline.
- This means that if you bet four units on the over, the Chiefs will make 22.39 percent of your money back.
- If you bet on the under, the Chiefs are 10-7 and you’ll get +2.3 units or 12.3% back.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Keys to the Game
Next on these Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the keyes to the game for Kansas City:
- The Chiefs have a 14-6 record (.700) when running the ball less than 25 times since the 2023 season. This is the best record in the NFL; the average record is.277.
- The Chiefs have a perfect 10-0 record this season when they’ve given up less than five touchdowns. That’s the second-best record in the NFL; the league average is.566.
- There were two times this season when the Chiefs lost (.667) when the other team ran the ball more than 30 times. That was the second-best record in the NFL. The average for the league is.249.
- As a team, the Chiefs were 11-0 this season when the other team scored scores on less than 55% of its red zone chances. With a record of.599, this is the T-best mark in the NFL.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Offense Important Stats
- The Chiefs made plays that worked on 57% of their rush attempts in the third quarter this season, which is the best rate in the NFL. That’s about 44% for the league.
- The Chiefs had the second-worst epa line in the NFL last season, at -0.75 per play against tight defense. It was -0.52 for the whole league.
- The Chiefs had a three-and-out on 14% of their plays last season, which was the second-highest percentage in the NFL. League-wide, it was 22%.
- The Chiefs have had the worst stats in the NFL against tight defense since the 2023 season: -0.69 epa per play. The trend for the league is -0.47.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Defense Important Stats
- The Chiefs defense gave up the highest third-down conversion rate in the NFL last season: 3% on third-and-10+ yards to go. The league average was 17%.
- The Chiefs’ defense has given up the most yards from scrimmage to running backs this season (93.7 per game). The league average is 126.8 yards per game.
- When it comes to third-and-long, the Chiefs defense has only let 20-yard or longer passes happen on 6 out of 155 tries (4%) since the 2023 season. This is the highest percentage in the NFL; the league average is 10%.
- At a depth of 1 to 5 yards, the Chiefs defense had the second-best dropback average in the NFL last season, giving up only 4.5 yards per dropback (675 yards/150 tries). Most teams in the league got 5.5.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction for both teams.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Houston
This is the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction for Houston.
Through the regular season, the Houston Texans won the AFC South title with a 10–7 record. They came in fourth place in the AFC standings after going 5-1 in the division and 9-4 in conference play. Before the playoffs, we placed the Texans as the 16th best team in the NFL.
Even though Houston was a 2.5-point loser in the Wild Card round, they beat the Chargers 32–12. There was an over/under of 41.5 points, and both teams got 44 points. The Texans have scored more points than their opponents 1.1 times this season and are 8-9-1 against the spread.
We place the Texans as the 20th best offensive team going into the divisional round. At the moment, they average 22.4 points per game, which puts them 15th in the NFL. They also average 325.8 yards per game, which puts them 18th. Houston has 220.4 passing yards per game, which is 20th in the league. They have 9th most passing tries per game. Of the teams that have tried to run the ball, they are 21st, and their 115.4 running yards per game are 14th. To date, the Texans have made 37.7% of their third-down conversions, which puts them 17th in the league and 15th in the red zone.
In the wild card round, C.J. Stroud completed 22 out of 33 passes, threw for 282 yards, and had one score and one interception. He lost his job three times in a row. Nico Collins had seven receptions for 122 yards and a score. Joe Mixon ran 25 times for 106 yards and a touchdown, which was the most on the team. The Chargers shut out the Texans in the third quarter, but they scored 12 points in the fourth quarter.
The Texans’ defense was great in their 32-12 win over the Chargers. They picked off four passes and only let the Chargers gain 211 yards. The Chargers were only able to score 12 points, and they kept their success rate at 43.8%. Houston’s run defense was also very strong; they only let 18 tries go for 50 yards.
The Chargers were only able to convert 27.3% of their third-down chances against the Texans. Even though the Chargers had 261 total yards, Houston’s defense won important battles throughout the game, including four sacks and a four-point lead in the QB hit duel.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting: Houston Injury Report
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
TE | Teagan Quitoriano (Calf) | Out |
TE | Teagan Quitoriano (Calf) | Questionable |
LB | Christian Harris (Ankle) | Questionable |
G | Shaq Mason (Knee) | Out |
DE | Denico Autry (Knee) | Questionable |
WR | John Metchie (Shoulder) | Questionable |
LB | Christian Harris (Ankle) | Questionable |
CB | Jeff Okudah (Concussion) | Out |
DE | Denico Autry (Knee) | Out |
G | Shaq Mason (Knee) | Out |
DE | Denico Autry (Knee) | Questionable |
WR | Tank Dell (Knee) | Out |
DT | Folorunso Fatukasi (Ankle) | Out |
WR | John Metchie (Shoulder) | Out |
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Kansas City
This is the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction for Kansas City.
At the end of the regular season, the Kansas City Chiefs had a 15-2 record, which put them in first place in the AFC. They went 5-1 in their division and 10-2 against teams from the same league. Kansas City had an 8-0 record at home and a 7-2 record on the road. This is their power position going into the playoffs: sixth.
The average score difference for the Chiefs was +3.5 points, and they were 7-9-1 against the spread. Their record for over/under was 7–10, and their last two games were both underhit. The average score in their games was 41.8 points, which was less than the usual line of 44.
Before the divisional round, the Chiefs had an average of 22.6 points per game and 327.6 yards per game, which put them 16th in the NFL. They place sixth in passing attempts and thirteenth in passing yards per game, which shows how much they depend on the passing game. They are 22nd in the country in terms of how many yards they run each game. At the moment, they have the second-best success rate in the league (48.5%) on third down, which is an area where they have done exceptionally well.
The Chiefs couldn’t score in the 18th week because they could only throw for 98 yards and run for 27 yards. There were four sacks against Carson Wentz during his 10-day stretch, and his passer rating was 75. Carson Steele ran eight times for 25 yards, and Nikko Remigio caught two passes for 48 yards, which was the most on the team.
In their 38-0 loss to the Broncos, the Chiefs’ defense had a hard time getting off the field and gave up 479 yards. On third down, the Broncos were successful 71.4% of the time. Denver completed 89.7% of its passes, which led to four scores. The Chiefs, on the other hand, gave up 321 yards through the air. In addition, the Chiefs couldn’t get a sack and gave up 158 yards on the ground on 43 tries.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting: Kansas City Injury Report
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
LB | Nick Bolton (Rest) | Doubtful |
CB | Jaylen Watson (Ankle) | Out |
S | Justin Reid (Rest) | Doubtful |
CB | Trent McDuffie (Knee) | Doubtful |
DT | Chris Jones (Calf) | Doubtful |
T | Jawaan Taylor (Knee) | Out |
LB | Drue Tranquill (Rest) | Doubtful |
RB | Isiah Pacheco (Ribs) | Out |
DE | George Karlaftis (Rest) | Doubtful |
RB | Kareem Hunt (Rest) | Out |
WR | Mecole Hardman (Knee) | Out |
TE | Travis Kelce (Rest) | Out |
QB | Patrick Mahomes (Rest) | Out |
T | Jawaan Taylor (Knee) | Questionable |
DT | Chris Jones (Calf) | Questionable |
LB | Leo Chenal (Illness) | Questionable |
DB | Chamarri Conner (Concussion) | Out |
QB | Patrick Mahomes (Ankle) | Questionable |
WR | Hollywood Brown (Shoulder) | Questionable |
QB | Patrick Mahomes (Ankle) | Doubtful |
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Our Picks
Next in this Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction, we have the picks for this game.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: MoneyLine
First, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the moneyline.
Our offensive power ranks put the Texans 20th, and their average of 22.4 points per game puts them 15th in scoring. Houston is 18th in total yards per game (325.8) and 20th in passing yards per game (210.4), even though they are ninth in the country in tries to pass. Their average of 115.4 rushing yards per game puts them 14th in the league in terms of rushing tries and 21st in terms of rushing yards. The Texans are 17th in the NFL at converting third downs, 15th at making the most of red zones, and 10th at trying to score as many times as they do.
They beat the Chargers by 32 points in the Wild Card round. The passes that C.J. Stroud completed were 22 out of 33, for 282 yards, one score, and one interception. Nico Collins caught 7 passes for 122 yards, and Joe Mixon ran 25 times for 106 yards. Houston scored 12 points in the fourth quarter and made two of four chances in the red zone.
We have placed the Chiefs as the eighth best offensive team right now, as they get ready to play in the divisional round. With an average of 327.6 yards per game, they are 16th in the NFL. With an average of 22.6 points per game, they are 14th in the NFL. The Chiefs are sixth in the NFL in passing tries (35.3 per game) and 13th in passing yards per game (222.4). They have the 16th most tries on the ground and the 22nd most yards gained by running. Still, even though they are seventh in red zone attempts, they are 23rd in red zone conversion rate at 13.8%. On the other hand, they have done great on third down, converting 48.5% of the time and finishing in second place.
Week 18 saw Denver beat the Chiefs 38-0 thanks to a shutout. The starter quarterback was Carson Wentz, who made 10 out of 17 passes for 98 yards. He lost his job four times in a row. Carson Steele was the best player on the team, gaining 25 yards on eight runs. Kansas City, on the other hand, could only manage 27 yards on 11 carries. One catch by Nikko Remigio gained him 48 yards. The Chiefs had trouble on third down because they could only convert one out of nine times they tried.
- Free MoneyLine Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: KANSAS CITY.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Total
Next, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the total.
During their 32–12 win over the Chargers, the Texans’ defense was great. They picked off four passes and only gave up 211 yards. The Chargers were only able to complete 43.8% of their passes and score 12 points. They did a good job stopping the run, letting only 50 yards on 18 tries.
The Chargers were only able to convert 27.3% of their third-down chances against the Texans. Even though they gave up four sacks to the Chargers, Houston’s defense stayed calm.
In a 38-0 loss to the Broncos, the Chiefs’ defense had a hard time clearing the field because Denver converted 71.4% of their third-down tries. It was 89.7% completion rate for Denver, while the Chiefs gave up 479 and 321 yards through the air. The Chiefs, on the other hand, couldn’t get any clearances and gave up four passing scores.
The Chiefs’ opponents gained an average of 3.7 yards per try and gave up 158 yards on 43 ground attempts. In addition, Kansas City lost the fight for tackles for loss, which cost them three points.
- Free Total Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: OVER.
Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Spread
And now, we have the Texans vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the spread.
With a 10–7 record during the regular season, the Texans earned the top spot in the AFC South. They were in fourth place in the AFC with a 9–4 record against conference opponents and a 5–1 record in division play. Before the playoffs, we ranked Houston as the 16th best team in the country.
The Texans were 8-9-1 against the spread and had a +1.1 point differential. They went 4-6-1 when they were favorites and 4-3 when they were losers. With an average score of 43.8 points per game (over/under line: 44.3), they had a 7-10-1 over/under record.
The Texans have won two of their last three games, giving them a 2-1 record. There is also a 2-1 over/under and a 2-1 rival mark.
Houston has lost two of their last three road games and tied two. They have scored 22 points per game on the road. Because of these games, the team’s overall score was 3-2.
At the end of the regular season, the Chiefs had a 15-2 record, which put them in first place in the AFC. Not only did they go 10-2 in conference games, but they also went 5-1 in division games and finished 8-0 at home. We had Kansas City ranked sixth in our power rankings before week 18. Their 38-0 loss to the Broncos may have changed that, though. Since the Chiefs were 11 points behind in that game, they couldn’t cover the spread. There were 40.5 points in the over/under, and both teams scored 38 points to meet it.
Before that, the Chiefs had won three games in a row, including a 29-10 win over the Steelers in week 17. They were able to cover the 1.5-point spread in that game. In week 16, they beat the Texans 27–19, and in week 15, they beat the Chargers 21–17. The average score difference between Kansas City and other teams this season is +3.5 points, and they are 7-9-1 against the spread.
The last three times these two teams have played, Kansas City has won all three. Their record against the spread isn’t very good—1-2—and their record against the over/under is also 1-2.
Kansas City’s last five home games have only gone 2-3 against the spread. Even so, they were able to keep scoring 20 points per game on average and end up with a 3-2 record overall.
- Free Spread Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: HOUSTON.
FREE Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Our Picks
- Free MoneyLine Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: KANSAS CITY.
- Free Total Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: OVER.
- Free Spread Texans vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: HOUSTON.
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