Thunder vs Mavericks Betting odds and wagering prediction for this game set for May 18, 2024. Place a bet on this NBA basketball game now.
The Mavericks have a chance to win the first-round series on Saturday night. They now hold a 3-2 series lead and are 3.5 point favorites in game 6. The over/under is 208.5 points, and the Mavericks are -170 on the money line. The Thunder are currently at +141. Tip-off is at 8:00 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, with ABC broadcasting.
The Mavericks won the series’ most recent game by 12 points, defeating the Thunder 104-92. Dallas was the underdog heading into the game, with 4.5 points, and they easily covered the spread. The game’s over/under was 213 points, however the teams fell 17 points short of that total.
Luka Doncic had a triple-double in the game, with 31 points, 11 assists, and ten rebounds. His 31 points led all scorers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a solid game for the Thunder, scoring 30 points. The Mavericks held the Thunder to 42.5% from the field and 25% from three-point range.
Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Odds
Here are the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER | +3.5 | +155 | Over 208.5 |
| DALLAS MAVERICKS | -3.5 | -175 | Under 208.5 |
Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Prediction
Check out our free Thunder vs Mavericks Betting prediction for this NBA matchup in Dallas. See who we think will win and cover the spread in this regular-season NBA matchup.
The Thunder go to Dallas to face the Mavericks.
Oklahoma City’s effective field goal percentage is 57%, which ranks third.
The Thunder hope to regroup from their setback to the Mavericks.
The Mavericks are now 50-32.
So far, the Mavericks have averaged 117.9 points per game.
The Mavericks recently beat the Thunder 104-92.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Prediction
First, we have the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting prediction for OKC.
Today, the Thunder will look to revenge their recent 104-92 loss to the Mavericks. The game’s over/under was 213 points, with Oklahoma City favored by 4.5.
Oklahoma City’s over/under record this season is 46-44-1, with a combined average of 229.7 points. This year, 90 of their games had higher over/under totals than the current 208.5.
The Thunder are 52-39 vs. the spread and 23-22 on the road. They have not covered the spread in their last two away games, and their ATS record as underdogs is 13-10.
The Thunder are currently in first place in the Western Conference, with a 57-25 record. In non-conference games, they went 21-9 and 36-16 against Western Conference opponents.
On the road, the Thunder outscore their opponents by an average of 2.4 points per game. This season, they are 27-18 away from home.
Oklahoma City enters the game with the NBA’s third highest scoring offense, averaging 120.1 points per game. However, they have played below average in each of their last seven games. They have the sixth best road scoring offense this season, averaging 115.6 points per game. The Thunder’s field goal percentage of 49% is the league’s third highest.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the Thunder’s offensive leader of late, averaging 31.4 points per game over the last five games. Jalen Williams has also been performing well, averaging 16 points, 5.2 assists, and 6 rebounds in the last five games. This season, Luguentz Dort averages 10.9 points per game and makes 39.4% of his three-point attempts.
The Thunder have been one of the league’s best defensive teams this season, ranking ninth with 111.2 points allowed per game. At 45.3%, they are second in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed. They’ve been particularly tough on the inside, finishing second in two-point shooting percentage.
Oklahoma City’s opponents have had some success shooting from behind the arc. On the season, they are 21st in three-point shooting percentage allowed (36.1%). They have been considerably worse in this regard during the last five games, ranking 23rd in terms of allowed three-point shooting.
Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 67.1% of games against the Thunder. In terms of rebounds per game, they are 26th in the NBA, with 42. However, they are eighth in defensive rebounds per game.
Thunder Key Players to Watch
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder’s primary playmaker, leads all active Thunder players in scoring (30.1 points per game) and assists (6.2 per game).
- This season, Chet Holmgren averages 16.5 points, 2.4 assists, and 7.9 rebounds per game.
- Luguentz Dort averages two three-pointers per game.
- Gilgeous-Alexander’s 2.0 steals and Holmgren’s 2.3 blocked shots per game aid the Thunder’s defense.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting prediction for Dallas
Dallas is 3.5-point favorites over the Thunder today. This season, the Mavericks have been favorites in 58 of 82 games, going 42-16. As the favorite, they have an average point difference of +6.8 per game.
The Mavericks are 37-21 as favored versus the spread, including 24-22 at home. They have an average home scoring margin of +3.7 points per game.
The Mavericks won their most recent game against the Thunder, 104-92. They were 4.5-point underdogs going into the game. The over/under for the game was 213 points.
Dallas’ over/under record this season is 41-52, with the under hitting in their previous three games. On average, their games have ended with 230.4 points.
The Mavericks are currently fifth in the Western Conference, with a 50-32 record. They’re 31-21 against Western Conference clubs and 19-11 against non-conference opponents.
Dallas averages 117.9 points per game this season, ranking eighth in the league. Their home scoring average is 117.2 points per game, which ranks them eighth among home scoring teams. The Mavericks are 14th in the NBA in terms of pace, averaging 99.6 possessions per game.
Luka Doncic, who is averaging 33.9 points per game this season, will most likely play for the Mavericks. In his last five games, he has averaged 23.8 points, 8.4 assists, and 10.6 rebounds. During this run, he completed 35% of his threes. P.J. Washington is averaging 12.9 points and 5.6 rebounds this season, but in his last five games, he averaged 19.4 points and 9 rebounds while shooting 47.7% from three.
The Mavericks allow 114.0 points per game heading into tonight’s game against the Thunder, ranking 17th in the NBA. Dallas has fared even better in their last five games, allowing only 104 points per game and ranking eighth over that time.
Opponents have made 47.1% of their shots against Dallas this season, placing them 15th in the NBA. The Mavericks have been even more stingy in their last five games, holding opponents to 43.9% shooting from the field.
When it comes to defending the three-point line, opponents shoot 36.5% against Dallas. This season, opposing teams have made 12.9 three-pointers per game against the Mavericks, which ranks 16th in the NBA.
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
- Luka Doncic averages 33.9 points per game, 9.2 rebounds, and 9.8 assists.
- Doncic is the active Mavericks’ top three-point shooter, with 4.1 attempts per game.
- Doncic picks pockets 1.4 times a game, while Daniel Gafford has 2.1 rejections.
Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Trends
These are the Thunder vs Mavericks Betting trends:
- This season, the Mavericks are 25-15 against the spread in games when they were at least 3.5 points ahead.
- This season, the Thunder are 4-4 against the spread when behind by 3.5 points or more.
- These two clubs score 28.5 more points per game (238) than the current total (209.5).
- These teams’ opponents have combined for an average of 228.3 points per game, which is 18.8 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- The average point total for Mavericks games this season is 24.0 higher than the 209.5 in this matchup.
- Oklahoma City’s average point total this season is 23.3 more than the game’s over/under.
- Dallas is 48-34-0 ATS this season.
- So far this season, the Thunder are 46-35-1 against the spread.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
- The Mavericks outscore their opponents by 2.3 points per game and have a +181 scoring differential overall. They average 117.9 points per game (sixth in the NBA) and allow 115.6 per game (20th in the league).
- The Mavericks trailed in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. They average 42.9 rebounds per game (21st in the league), while their opponents average 45.1.
- Dallas shoots 14.6 three-pointers per game (third in the league), 1.5 more than its opponents (13.1).
- The Mavericks average 118.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (10th in the league) and 116.2 points per 100 possessions on defense (17th in the NBA).
- The Mavericks have been more offensively effective at home, averaging 118.7 points per game, than on the road, where they average 117.0. Defensively, they are slightly better at home, allowing 115.0 points per game, than on the road, where opponents average 116.2 points.
Thunder Stats & Insights
- The Thunder outscored opponents by 7.4 points per game and have a +608 scoring differential overall. They average 120.1 points per game (third in the NBA) and allow 112.7 points per game (11th).
- Oklahoma City loses the rebounding battle by an average of 2.7 boards. It ranks 27th in the league, with 42.0 rebounds per game, while opponents average 44.7.
- The Thunder make 13.3 three-pointers per game, ranking sixth in the NBA, while their opponents make 13.4. They shot 38.9% from deep, but their opponents shot 36.1%.
- The Thunder rank third in the league for offensive efficiency, averaging 120.4 points per 100 possessions, and fourth on defense, allowing 113.0 points per 100 possessions.
- Oklahoma City averages 123.1 points per game at home, 6.1 more than they do away.
Moneyline
The Mavericks should win the series and go 3-2 at home in the playoffs. At -168, there is little reason to gamble on them to win outright. The Thunder is the only value on the moneyline, at +142.
The home team’s spread is the stronger bet in this scenario.
Against the Spread
The Mavericks have been excellent against Western Conference teams, posting a 39-24 ATS record during the regular season (including playoffs), and they have continued to perform well for bettors in the tournament. Dallas has won five of its last seven games and is 4-2 ATS over the previous six as a favorite.
The Thunder, a young team, struggled at home in Game 5, shooting 10-for-40 from deep. They may struggle on the road in a noisy Dallas environment. Oklahoma City has a 1-3 ATS record in its last four games and is highly reliant on forward Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has 64 points over the last two games.
Take MAVERICKS -3.5 to benefit from Dallas’ sustained success.
Over/Under
The NBA Playoffs feature high-level defense as games become more meaningful, and both teams have faced the obstacles that come with greater defensive intensity.
The Thunder were 46-35-1 O/U during the regular season and 2-7 O/U in the playoffs. They have scored less than 100 points in three games and less than 102 points in five of nine. Dallas has a 1-4 over/under record in its previous five games and is 36-46 for the season. In the playoffs, the over/under is 4-7.
Take the under at 208.5, based on both teams’ recent postseason numbers.
Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Pick
Free Thunder vs Mavericks Betting Pick: Under and the Mavs
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