Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Odds, Prediction, Pick, for 5/4/24

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting odds and wagering prediction for this game set for May 4, 2024. Place a bet on this NBA basketball game now.

The Timberwolves and Nuggets are tied at three games apiece in their Western Conference first-round series; game seven is set for 7:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in Denver. TNT will carry the game, and the Nuggets are 4.5 point home favorites. 208.5 points is the over/under, with Timberwolves money line odds of +153 and Nuggets of -186.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Odds

Here are the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES	+4.5	+165	Over 208.5
DENVER NUGGETS	-4.5	-190	Under 208.5

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Prediction

This is our Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting prediction. We shall go over who will win and cover the spread in this post.

• The Timberwolves are 56–26 right now.
• Sixth-ranked Minnesota has an effective field goal percentage of 56%.
• The Timberwolves won their most recent game 122-116 over the Suns.
• The Nuggets’ record as of right now is 57-25.
• The defense of Denver surrenders 109.4 points per game.
• The Nuggets just defeated the Lakers 108-106.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Prediction:  Minnesota

Here is the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting prediction for Minnesota.

The series was finally ended by Minnesota defeating the Suns 122-116. They were able to sweep the series, 4-0, thanks to the win. The series could be concluded by the Timberwolves on the road.

Scorer of forty points, Anthony Edwards spearheaded the Timberwolves’ attack. Edwards also pulled in nine and six rebounds. He made seven threes, putting up a 53.8% mark from beyond the arch. With 28 points and 10 rebounds, Karl-Anthony Towns had a terrific day for Minnesota as well.

At 113 points a game, Minnesota’s scoring attack is the 18th-ranked in the NBA. They’ve done marginally better on the road, scoring 114.4 points per game. Fourth in three-point shooting (38%), and ninth in field goal percentage (48%), are the Timberwolves.

Anthony Edwards had averaged 27.4 points and 50.6% field goal percentage in his last five games. He averaged 5.8 assists and 7.6 rebounds throughout this period as well. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged two threes a game over the past five games, nailing 47.6% of them. He has been scoring 21.8 points and pulling down 8.3 rebounds a game.

At just 106.4 points per game this season, the Minnesota Timberwolves boast the league’s best defensive record. Particularly stingy at home, they’ve given up only 103.3 points per game.

Minnesota leads the league in field goal percentage allowed (45.1%), so opponents have had trouble scoring. First in the league in allowed two-point shooting %, they have also been formidable on the inside.

Minnesota ranks 21st in made free throws allowed per game, so that is one area where opponents have had some success against the Timberwolves.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

• Averaging 25.9 points per game is Anthony Edwards. This season he also averages 5.1 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game.
• Rudy Gobert has scored 14.0 points, provided 1.3 assists, and pulled down 12.9 rebounds a game this season.
• Edwards makes 2.4 threes a game.
• The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts gain from Gobert’s 2.1 blocks and Edwards’ 1.3 thefts per game.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Prediction: Denver

Now, we have the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting prediction for Denver.

Leading the Nuggets to a series-clinching victory over the Lakers, Jamal Murray scored 32 points and made five threes. Denver prevailed 4-1 overall, including this game 108-106. The Nuggets also benefited much from Michael Porter Jr., who scored 26 points and made five threes of his own.

Nuggets shot 42.1% from deep and made 16 three-pointers. Additionally having a great day for Denver was Nikola Jokic, who scored 25 points and grabbed 20 rebounds. Besides, he had nine assists. The Nuggets finished off the series at home with the win.

Denver’s 117.8 point per game home offense is the tenth-best in the NBA. At 114.9 points a game, they rank 13th in the league overall. Fourth in the NBA in field goal percentage, the Nuggets have been a productive shooting team this season. At 37%, they are the 25th-ranked three-point shooters in the NBA.

With 28.2 points a game over his last five games, Nikola Jokic has lately carried the Nuggets offense. He averaged 9.8 assists and 16.2 rebounds across these games. Throughout his last five games, Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 22.8 points and made 48.8% of his three-pointers. While shooting just 40% from the floor, Jamal Murray has averaged 23.6 points and 7.2 assists in his last five games.

The Nuggets want to carry on their stellar defensive play as they get ready to play the Timberwolves at home. Denver is sixth in the NBA this season with an opponent scoring just 109.4 points per game.

Specially adept at defending the three-point line have been the Nuggets. They have the second-lowest three-point percentage allowed in the NBA this season—35.1%. Their last five games have seen even stronger play, limiting opponents to 29.8% from three.

76.8% of opponents have scored less than their season average in games played against the Nuggets this season. Denver makes 22.0 free throws a game, ranking 20th in the league.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

• Nikola Jokic scores 26.4 points, pulls down 12.4 rebounds, and disheves out 9.0 assists a night.
• At 2.7 per game, Michael Porter Jr. averages more three-pointers than any other (current) Nuggets player.
• In addition to blocking 1.1 shots a game, Jokic averages 1.4 steals.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Trends

Here are the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting trends.

Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Nuggets allow 109.6 points per game (sixth in the NBA) and average 114.9 points. They top their opponents by 5.3 points a game and have an overall scoring differential of +431.
• Having 44.4 rebounds per game, the Nuggets are eighth in the league. That surpasses the 42.3 average of their opponents by 2.1.
• Denver shoots 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league) at a 37.4% clip (ninth-best in the NBA), while its opponents shoot 11.2 from beyond the arc (35.5%).
• Fifth in the league with 119.4 points per 100 possessions, the Nuggets allow 113.9 points per 100 possessions, good for eighth in the NBA.
• At home, the Nuggets have scored 118.5 points per game, significantly higher than they have when playing away, when they score 111.2.
• On the defensive front, they are better at home where they surrender 108.7 points per game than they are away when they give up 110.5 points per game.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

• With a +529 score difference, the Timberwolves outscored their opponents by 6.5 points per game. First in the NBA, they allow 106.5 points per game, while averaging 113.0 points per game, enough for 18th place in the league.
• With 43.6 rebounds per game—2.2 higher than its opponents’ average of 41.4—Minnesota ranks 15th in the league.
• Making 12.6 three-pointers per game—twelfth in the NBA—the Timberwolves outscored their opponents 1.2 points.
• With 116.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, the Timberwolves are ranked 16th in the league; with 109.9 points per 100 possessions allowed, they are first on defense.
• At home, Minnesota scores 112.0 points a game, and away, 114.0.

Moneyline

• Among the 72 games this season where Denver has been rated as the favorite, 53 have ended in victory.
• When Denver is tagged as a moneyline favorite of at least -189 or less, it has won 41 of 51 games this season.
• The moneyline gives Denver a 65.4% chance of winning this game.
• Minnesota’s moneyline underdog record is 10-11 (47.6% win percentage).
• Minnesota has a 2–6 (25%), moneyline underdog record when the odds are +156 or higher.
• For this game, Minnesota has an indicated moneyline victory probability of 39.1%.

Against the Spread

• The Timberwolves allow 106.5 points per game, compared to the 114.9 points the Nuggets score every contest.
• When scoring over 106.5 points, Denver is 53-10 overall and 35-26-2 against the spread.
• In contests with 109.6 points or more scored, Minnesota has an ATS record of 35-17-1 and an overall record of 43-10.
• When letting up fewer than 113 points, Denver is 44-11 overall and 29-24-2 against the spread.
• With 114.9 points per game, the Nuggets are the NBA’s 14th-highest scoring team; the Timberwolves rank first in the league for points allowed (106.5).
• With 113 points per game, Minnesota is now the 18th-ranked scoring team in the NBA; Denver is sixth in terms of points allowed per game (109.6).
• This season, the Timberwolves have outscored opponents 529 points (6.5 per game), while the Nuggets have scored 431 more points than their opponents (5.3 per game on average).

Over/Under

• 68 times this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have outscored Saturday’s total of 207.5 points.
• Saturday’s 207.5 points are less than the total points scored in 67 of the Timberwolves’ 82 games this season.
• 20.4 points greater than the 207.5 points scored in the game are averaged by these two teams.
• The two clubs have combined to score 216.1 points per game this season, which is 8.6 more than the 207.5 total in this one.
• This season, the average total for Nuggets games is 224.5 points, which is 17 points more than the 207.5-point over/under for this game.
• The total points bet on Timberwolves games this season is 219.5, 12 points more than the over/under for this game.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting: Last 10 Games

• Over their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 8-2 overall and 6-4 against the spread.
• The Nuggets have topped the amount five times in their last ten games.
• In their last ten games, Denver and its opponents have averaged 220.2 points, which is 12.7 more than the 207.5 over/under in this one.
• The Nuggets have scored 0.9 more points per game in their last ten games than they did on average this season.
• Over their previous ten games, the Timberwolves have gone 7-3 overall and 5-5 against the spread.
• Out of the Timberwolves’ last ten games, seven have gone into overtime.
• Over their last ten games, Minnesota and its opponents have averaged 216 total points, which is 8.5 more than the 207.5 over/under in this game.
• The Timberwolves have averaged 0.9 more points over the last ten games than their 113 PPG season average.

Top Nuggets Props

Top Timberwolves Props

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Pick

Free Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Pick: Timberwolves Spread

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