Uconn vs San Diego State Betting odds, trends, and picks for this Sweet 16, March Madness 2024 game. Place a bet on this college basketball game now at YouWager.lv.
The No. 1 seed UConn Huskies (33-3) will meet the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (26-10) in a Sweet 16 game at TD Garden on Thursday. Watch this NCAA Tournament matchup on TBS/truTV at 7:39 p.m. ET, with the winner advancing to the East Region bracket finals.
When the Huskies play the Aztecs, they are 9.5-point favorites. The game’s over/under is 135.5.
UConn is 24-12-0 ATS this season, while San Diego State is 14-20-0. This season, the Huskies have had 17 games go over, while the Aztecs had 17. The teams average 156.3 points a game, which is 20.8 more than this game’s total. In the previous 10 games, UConn is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall, while San Diego State is 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall.
Before you watch this game, here’s everything you need know about Thursday’s college basketball action.
Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Odds
Here are the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SAN DIEGO STATE
|
+9.5 | +395 | Over 135.5 |
|
CONNECTICUT
|
-9.5 | -520 | Under 135.5 |
Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Trends
Here are the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting trends for moneyline, ATS and total:
Moneyline
- This season, UConn has won 93.3% of its games as a moneyline favorite (28-2).
- The Huskies have won all 15 games as moneyline favorites with odds of -524 or below.
- UConn’s indicated moneyline win probability for this game is 84.0%.
- This season, San Diego State has been the underdog seven times and won two.
- The Aztecs have rarely been a bigger underdog on the moneyline than they are in this game, with +388 odds to win.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline gives San Diego State a 20.5% chance of winning.
Against the Spread
- UConn is 24-12-0 ATS this season.
- San Diego State has won 14 games against the spread this season but failed to cover 20.
- The Huskies score an average of 81.6 points each game, while the Aztecs allow 66.3.
- When UConn scores more than 66.3 points, it is 19-7 against the spread and 26-0 in total.
- When San Diego State allows less than 81.6 points, they are 12-15 against the spread and 21-8 overall.
- The Aztecs average 10.8 more points per game (74.7) than the Huskies allow (63.9).
- San Diego State is 12-13 against the spread and 20-7 overall when scoring more than 63.9 points.
- UConn is 17-9 against the spread and 25-1 overall when allowing less than 74.7 points.
Over/Under
- This season, the Huskies’ average estimated point total is 79.8, which is 6.8 points higher than Thursday’s implied total of 73.
- This season, UConn has scored over 73 points in 29 games.
- The Aztecs’ season average implied total is 74.2 points, which is 11.2 points more than the team’s implied total of 63 points for this game.
- This season, San Diego State has outscored its implied point total for this game (63), 32 times.
UConn Huskies Insights
First, we have the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting insights for the Huskies.
UConn has a +636 scoring differential, outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game. It averages 81.6 points per game, ranking 21st in NCAA basketball, while allowing 63.9 points per game, placing 12th.
UConn wins the rebounding battle, with an average of 8.4 boards. Its opponents average 30.1 rebounds per game, while it averages 38.5 (ranked 44th in NCAA basketball).
The Huskies average 8.6 three-pointers per game (61st in college basketball), which is 2.7 more than their opponents (5.9). They shoot 36.1% from behind the arc (59th in college basketball) while allowing their opponents to shoot 31.3%.
UConn leads college basketball with 109 points per 100 possessions and ranks 14th defensively with 85.4 points allowed per 100 possessions.
This season, the Huskies are averaging 84.6 points per game at home, 8.2 points higher than their road average (76.4).
San Diego State Aztecs Insights
Now, we have the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting prediction for the Aztecs.
San Diego State leads opponents by 8.4 points per game (74.7 per game, 144th in college basketball; allowing 66.3 per game, 28th in college basketball) and has a +305 scoring differential.
San Diego State led the rebounding battle, with an average of 4.8 boards. It averages 38 rebounds per game (57th in college basketball), while its opponents average 33.2.
San Diego State averages 7.1 three-pointers per game (219th in college basketball) at a 31.8% clip (293rd in college basketball), while their opponents average 7.2 and shoot 30.8% from beyond the arc.
San Diego State averages 97.2 points per 100 possessions (134th in college basketball), while allowing 86.2 points per 100 possessions (20th).
At home, the Aztecs average 76.7 points per game, 6.7 more than their away average of 70.
UConn Key Players to Watch
Tristen Newton leads the Huskies in scoring and assists, averaging 15.3 and 6.2 per game, respectively.
Donovan Clingan is UConn’s best rebounder, averaging 7.4 boards per game in addition to 12.8 points.
Cam Spencer, the Huskies’ top three-point shooter, averages 2.6 threes a game.
Spencer leads UConn in thefts with an average of 1.4 per game, and Clingan leads the team in blocks with 2.4.
San Diego State Key Players to Watch
Jaedon LeDee leads the Aztecs in scoring and rebounding, averaging 21.5 points and 8.4 rebounds per game.
Darrion Trammell leads San Diego State with 3.3 assists per game.
Micah Parrish is the Aztecs’ top three-point shooter, averaging 1.3 per game.
Lamont Butler leads San Diego State in thefts (1.5 per game), while Jay Pal tops the team in blocks (one per game).
Uconn vs San Diego State Betting Picks
Here are the Uconn vs San Diego State Betting picks:
- Pick ATS: San Diego State
- Pick OU: Over
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